University of Toronto researchers receive federal grants for COVID-19 modelling projects
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Coronavirus Update: Original assessment of COVID-19 as low-risk wasn t wrong, Tam says
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COVID-19 fight has relied too much on uncertain math modelling, some scientists say
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Ontario health officials race to avert ‘take off’ of new COVID-19 variants Bookmark Please log in to listen to this story. Also available in French and Mandarin. Log In Create Free Account
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Frank Gunn/The Canadian Press
Ontario is bracing for a perilous inflection point in the COVID-19 pandemic, which a mathematical model projects could result from a new variant of the virus that is showing up in the province.
According to the projection, released during a news briefing on Tuesday, the variant is poised to rapidly inflate case numbers and overwhelm emergency rooms in the province based on its behaviour in other locations. The projection helps explain why Ontario has issued a provincewide stay-at-home order beginning Thursday.