court confirmation fight. let s bring in if a political consultant and president of capital strategy, scott bolden, former chair of the national bar association, kevin surilly for bloomberg tv, grace crowell for new york one. kevin is wearing specs today. quickly to you, my friend. what do you make of where the winds are blowing now? right? 37 days. we just spent a full week talking about nothing but the supreme court. and another week, one might guess, also the headline, not necessarily good, some might say, for one party or the other. i think that s a great point. look, president trump campaigning in west virginia in a state that candidate donald trump carried by 42%. and this, of course, is the same state where the centrist democrat from west virginia is in a tough re-election battle.
i think that s where this gets really interesting. everyone is going to have to wait to see what the fbi investigation yields. and then people have to make up their minds. but this is going to be a tough, tough vote for senators. but for very different reasons, i think. grace, you and i were talking about this. i think there is i was counting. there is some six states that started in person. some of this is already baked in. what is going to happen next week? it s too late jake, right? yeah. the contours of this fight are already clear to the public. but in new jersey, which is not far from where we are right now, they started voting on september 22nd. so people had been casting their ballots there and n. races long before they heard the testimony of kavanaugh and his accuser and so they are having to make up their minds beforehand. but i think that they know the contours of this fight. but as kevin was saying, there is still a big question mark
i think it s possible that he sud l suddenly decides he doesn t want to have anything to do with this. won t be talked to. they know he lied in front of the senate and they re kchd he would lie to the fbi. you know what happens then. that s why don mcgann wants to make sure the fbi does not talk to kavanaugh. if i may jump in real quickly, richard. it may not be about the democrats or the republicans on november 6th. watch the independents, the suburban women and those disgusted with donald trump and how the senate hand thld nomination, wheth handled this nomination. i think it s going to be critical in every state. they re going to vote with the democrats. all great points made by the four of you, scott, sherry, kevin, and grace. have a good sunday. thank you, richard. coming up, we bring you the other big stories making headlines around the world. including the climbing death toll out of indonesia running in the hundreds following that catastrophic earthquake next. ca.
on the democratic side. there are very specific democratic senators who have a different set of political questions that they and challenges they have to deal with in states that went with president trump before. but i do think that the democratic base is deeply energized. i think women are going to play a key role in november. you know, kevin, when we look at the midterm egg timer, is it just too late for the republicans to come forward with a another nominee if this nominee for some run does not come to pass? is that potentially one of the bolts of energy that is pushing the republican party to push this particular nominee? i think that s a great point n fact, when i talked with sources last week on capitol hill and both the republican and democratic party, they noted that mitch mcconnell would like to see this get voted on before october 1 of the when the supreme court reconvenes. that is now a mute issue. but then before the midterm elections. and that we ll have to wait
many analysts are now pointing to democrats as the party at war with itself. let s bring in kevin surilly, a reporter for the hill. hi, arthel. let me get your take on why k cassidy beat landrieu. it s not surprising senator landrieu lost. we all expected her to lose, but what is surprising is the margin of victory that he was defeated. she lost by ten points. that was a little bit surprising, but we always talk about the gop interfighting with the tea party left centerist republicans and all that, but probably one of the we don t talk about as much is the debate within the democratic party that s happening between president obama who some would argue is more centrist versus the elizabeth warren wing. the more progressive base. and the left is saying, you