surprise. where does everybody looking for second surge, that unexpected first, second or third place finish. jenna: we ll watch with you, generaller f thanks so much for joining us today. i look forward to having you back. thanks. jon: fox news alert. keeping our eye on the persian gulf. mounting tensions between the u.s. and iran. that country s army chief issues a harsh new warning reportedly telling the u.s. not to return its aircraft carrier to the gulf. the u.s. navy s fifth fleet says the uss john stennis is in the area. all this comes of course as the iranian navy test fired a new cruise missile and two more shorter range missiles on monday near the strait of hormuz. that is the strategic gateway for about 1/6 of the world s oil supply. it gets shipped through there each and every day. leland vittert is live in jerusalem. leland, we re just getting a u.s. response to this threat. tell us what that s all
we ll game the caucus and try to come in at the last second there will be many who do that. curiosity seekers and people who want to participate, not those that want to go mess up a candidate necessarily. the other thing you have to remember, talking about a universe of 119 or 120,000 the turnout adjusts just a percentage point, that is 1,000 votes. that is the difference between where the candidates lie in the polls in some cases. karl with a k was talking about there is fraction of a percentage difference in some of these polls. if the turnout is 5% higher and gets to 130,000, everything gets skewed because there is such a tiny little universe of votes going on here, caucus-goers here, the turnout fluctuation would jigger or rejigger everything and the margin would be only a few hundred votes. that s why even a few hundred or 1,000 or 2 college kids who say, by god i like that ron paul because he is antiwar and isolationist and i will go vote in the caucuses could make a big differ
about. reporter: exactly. coming from the pentagon, jon, essentially saying that the u.s. navy will send its ships or its aircraft carriers through the straits of hormuz, when it wants, as much as it wants and for whatever reason it wants and continue to do despite the threat from the iranian navy. the iranian naval chief was full of bravado. we re not in the business of warning americans more than once. in the past few days the iranians are making a lot of threats about closing the straits of hormuz which would obviously change the whole dime nam mick of the oil situation, the economic situation in the world. they made that threat based on whether the united states will pursue harsher sanctions to try to end the iranian nuclear program. the iranian navy had a lot of training and boats and put out scary videos. the videos didn t show the military hardware that experts say that is needed to in order to follow thugh on the threat to close the strait and make a difference there.
these are the key words related to rick santorum. iowa is very much front and center. you see things related to his campaign. conservative, freedom. all the things are trending in terms of news stories related to rick santorum. reporter: important issues for social conservatives in iowa. appears, jon, rick santorum continuing to trend up. this is data from the last day. this morning even. people are interested to hear what he has to say. we ll see what they do tonight at caucuses. jon: that is why this race is such an interesting one to watch. john robert thanks. jenna: we re taking your questions on the iowa caucuses on the republican primary of the who better to answer the questions than today s panel. joe trippi is here. former campaign manager for governor howard dean. pat a caddell is former campaign worker for jimmy carter and fox news contributor as well. we have lot to cover today. i will warm us up with this question. is the topic of debate in articles in usa today ,
register poll are undecided. they re using different methods to figure out what candidate they want to vote for. one method is internet. daniel is with google. they are tracking trends of searches. what does that tell us how the caucuses may go? all kinds of thing, john. just yesterday we launched the google politics and election page which anyone can go to at google.com/elections. this is trend dashboard. this is cool stuff. basically all the candidates and president obama volume of searches based in iowa. if i click play, you can see there are different spikes. some related to different candidates. you see ron paul comes up there. you can do yourself and look at the information. jon:. reporter: there was a spike for rick san tore rum. people are doing it the old-fashioned way going out to the rallies for candidates. we ran into a rally. helen cooper said she will be undecided. her biggest issue is health care. this is what she told me.