If you bought it at four, thats the problem inflation wise, youre not necessarily down with inflation falling. You no he know what im saying youre going to make money because eventually theyre going to come down. Thats what i dont understand f youre telling me right now this isnt a good deal, youre telling me that im going to be able to get the ten year. Im telling you two things. Youll get your principal back and it is part of any diversified portfolio to have a large part in bonds where you know youll get your principal back thats all i can guarantee you. Year. 2 years from now, if rates fall and inflation goes down, wake up at 3 and you lock in higher rates, they always make a mistake in the bond market. Back here is what i was really thinking, i was asking experts about this this morning, we are getting into hazy territory because we are going cross discipline here. Im looking at 4. 4 and im thinking isnt there a 4 rule for 401 k retirement . At what point do we go to the territory
You do have financials and Energy Taking up the slack to some degree. Inconclusive, indecisive action. Were 4 below the highs the treasury yields remain in fo focus. We did break out on tenyear yields above 4. 25 taking us back to 2008 the 30s are at 4. 40. Its a consistent story were pricing for a better growth economy, high real inflation adjustment yields. We can bet the economy can handle it or not plus a supply demand issue for debt. Look, the latest data is supportive of those higher yields we got jobless claims below 240. Psychologically important. Theres the yellow bankruptcy factoring in so far no evidence of real mass l layoffs in this economy. We have philly fed which was sharply higher and the first positive read since last august and prices paid inside of that, which a lot of people look at, looking for inflation cues was a little higher. You add that to the other data weve gotten this week its not earthshaking data. Its industrial productions, housing starts, retail sales
Which shoppers continue to buy essentials even as borrowing costs rise and inflation pinches their budget chinese property crisis deepens. Another company with openings to the sectors misses payments. The latest investments from beijing straight ahead later in the show, its not just the cost of tuition that continues to go up every school year living off campus is creating sticker shock for students and their parents. It is thursday, august 17th, 2023 youre watching Worldwide Exchange right here on cnbc good morning, welcome to Worldwide Exchange. Were going to check the stock futures. Theyre in the green across the board. Fractionally higher for the s p 500 and nasdaq at this hour, the dow will open 40 points higher h h losses picking up in the final hour of trading. Most people see serious risk for inflation that may require more rate hikes in the future back to back losses with the nasdaq leading the declines down 1. 2 the s p 500 closing at its lowest level in more than a month. Th
This is bloomberg daybreak europe. I am lizzy burden in london. Wrestling bears, china delivers its strongest ever push back against a weaker currency, seeking to repair confidence as Developers Warn of mounting losses. Bank of america says investors should strap in the return of the 5 world as bond yields surge on bets at rates will stay higher. Plus, shot in the arm. Things get a boost as no fewer than 28 of them have said to be lined up for the arm ipo likely to be this years biggest. The morning. Happy friday. You have made its. What a week it has been for august. We have treasury yields broadly study but the 10 year was near the highest since 2007. The 10 year touching the highest 2011 and tech stocks especially feeling the weight of rising real yield. U. S. Futures flat after the close that stocks are headed for the worst read a streak since march just as yields ease off the highs. In beijing shares heading for a six daily decline. Bear fatigue setting in on the china story now.
Lackluster trading an ugly chart for the biggest in the market and shares have fallen 11 this month alone. Intel and microsoft also a drag today and its hard to get much going for the nasdaq as well given that tech slide weve seen and the continued march higher for yields take a look, the 10year higher again, pressed against its highest level since last october. It takes us to our talk of the tape state of stocks and why some say this correction is not over. New edges Cameron Dawson making the case here now at post nine good to see you again. We should note as were at the lows of the day, the dow has reached it 50sDay Moving Average. Why do you argue today that this has more to go the confluence of evidence would support theres more to go because of seasonality, were in a bad seasonal stretch, september the worst month. We know momentum has turned negative in the near term on a tactical basis and breath, the number of names trading above their 50Day Moving Average, its not washed out y