angeles. congresswoman karen bass running against rick caruso. a life time republican businessman turned democrat. in a special recall election in san francisco, bodine lost his job as the district attorney of that city earlier this evening. in south dakota, nbc news projects that incumbent republican governor christie gnome won. in iowa, senate race michael franken excuse me, different screen i believe from what we re seeing. defeated former congresswoman abby. franken will now look to unseat chuck grassley come november. in montana, ryan zinke is leading in the campaign for congress. a close race we re watching. steve kornacki is at the big board to break it all down. steve, what do you got? it s a waiting game in los angeles. we have been showing you these numbers for a while here. rick caruso leading karen bass. certainly seems like these two are headed towards a runoff if nobody gets 50% tonight the top two finishers face off in november. settle things then. what we
i was trying to take you to this, one more outstanding piece of business in mississippi, the third congressional district, republican member of congress michael guest running in second place here. we re still waiting on final votes to come in, but he s running in second place. mississippi is a runoff state. so even if he finishes in second and his opponent cassidy doesn t break 50, it would trigger a runoff, but a runoff is a dangerous place for any incumbent to be. why is michael guest in trouble? he is a republican, the only republican from mississippi, who voted for the creation of a bipartisan january 6th commission. that s become an issue in this campaign. again, right now, the most likely outcome here is that guest and cassidy, who made an issue out of that end up in a runoff on june 28th and settle things. there is one other republican incumbent who is in grave danger here, palazzo will finish first but with only 31% of the vote.
about. this shouldn t have happened at the u.s. capitol. david, let me get your thoughts on this and there s two layers to it for me, at least, personally speaking. on one, this was a threat to our democracy and i think two years into it people are hardened in their positions. you either see it that way or you re a republican who thinks this was just another day in the office for members of congress or it was a protest. you have trump-friendly media like fox news, they re not going to be airing any of the january 6th hearings. so do you think that any of what comes out of this will actually reach republican voters or is it even worth trying to reach? i understand the historical significance of getting the narrative out on this and understanding the details because we re still learning about every minute of what happened on that day and the bigger conspiracy behind it. but are any of these republicans persuadable? probably not. but i think it depends on what comes out of the hearing
angeles. congresswoman karen bass running against rick caruso. a life time republican businessman turned democrat. in a special recall election in san francisco, bodine lost his job as the district attorney of that city earlier this evening. in south dakota, nbc news projects that incumbent republican governor christie gnome won. in iowa, senate race michael franken excuse me, different screen i believe from what we re seeing. defeated former congresswoman abby. franken will now look to unseat chuck grassley come november. in montana, ryan zinke is leading in the campaign for congress. a close race we re watching. steve kornacki is at the big board to break it all down. steve, what do you got? it s a waiting game in los angeles. we have been showing you these
of separate the political question into two buckets. so, is this going to change trump voters? of course not. might it affect some independent voters? very possibly. if they tell a good story, it could change the climate among a very large number of independent voters. we just don t know about that yet. but the most important effect is on democratic voters because right now there is a enthusiasm gap. it s actually narrowed a bit in recent weeks. but it favors the republicans right now. if democrats get mad about this and say you know what, i am going to go out and ring doorbells so that these big lie republicans don t get the keys to the car, so that we don t have these people who want to impeach joe biden running our congress. you might be able to motivate democrats to work harder in