Economy. Well be looking for things affecting the outlook of the u. S. Economy, particularly as it relates to zblrchlts all those things in principle can affect the achievement of our goals its an unusual situation because you know the u. S. Economy itself, the largest part of it, the consumer part of it, is in strong shape the manufacturing part, less so. Overall you see an economy that generally forecast shows growth similar to our own forecast coming in at about 2 . Significant risks to that outlook from not just the geopolitical events but slowing Global Growth. Well be looking at all of that and also Financial Market conditions and how they are affecting the outlook. I cant it is a challenging time i admit it were not on a preset course well be making decisions meeting by meeting as we see this and well try to be as trance parent as we can, as we go. Sparent as we can, as we go with the rate cut today and modest adjustment coming down the road, do you worry about lessening the fed
China promises a set of tariffs. Jay powell declining to signal more easy Monetary Policy. The yield curve inverting yet again. How will business respond . How will it impact the economy more importantly, what does it mean for the market and investors . And then a news making interview you cannot miss. Federal reserve vice chairman Richard Clarida from jackson hole we are covering the angles with the team of reporters as always. Elan, first to you on the china fears which appear to be trumping the fed speak today. Nice, sara. We are waiting to see if President Trump will make a statement on those latest trade tensions with china and the new 75 billion in retaliatory tariffs that were announced this morning. We know there was a meeting at the white house earlier today with mnuchin, kudlow, navarro and lighthizer and President Trump did tweet that he would issue a response this afternoon. He then went on to order American Companies to look for alternatives to china including bringing bus
Well, good thursday morning and welcome to squawk alley. Im Morgan Brennan with david faber and mike santoli, live from post 9 here on the floor of the new york stock exchange. Carl and jon are both off this morning. Stocks are staging a recovery today. S p coming off its largest comeback since december of last year on pace for its Third Straight day in the green, but is todays rally sustainable or is more volatility ahead . Key question for investors joining us now is Wells Fargo Asset Management multiasset strategist, brian jacobson, and invesco, vice chair of investments, krishna mumani. Krishna, ill start with you what do you think . More volatility ahead . I think volatility is to be expected in a stock market thats dealing with lots of issues but at the end of the day, the real question is, where do we go from here . And as the economy stabilizes in the second half and trade issues dont get exacerbated further, the markets are probably going higher rather than meaningfully lower.
For its purposes and rely on supervisory and regulatory tools, you know, to keep the Financial System resilient so youre not doing something today to help today and then its going to cause problems down the road . Youre not worry about that kind of dynamic theres very few things i dont worry about at all of course we monitor we have every quarter an extensive briefs on financial stable we have that yesterday we look at this on an ongoing basis. We have a great team we liase around the world. Were very much monitoring these things all the time, and we worry about them all the time. Were looking for the thing that we may have missed a lot of the time the things we havent missed, they paint a mixed picture, but not one to prevent us from taking Monetary Policy actions that we think are appropriate to support the economy. Reporter youve talked in this press conference about being data dependent Going Forward and this is not the start of a series of rate cuts, but the Financial Markets seem
From europe and the u. S. Here are your markets. We are seeing a little bit of flatlining for european stocks. Try to figure out exactly what will happen when President Trump meets with president xi jinping. The u. S. 10 year yield is holding just about 2 . Brent at 66. 34. We are seeing a big move with gold. It is the last trading day of the month, so watch out for any volatility. What marlon is doing merlin, announcing a couple of private equities were learning at the company. They are the owner of madame tussaud, amongst other entertainment things in london. Coming up, more from our exclusive interview with the the with the fran San Francisco fed president. Lets get straight to bloomberg first word news. Ifit is too early to know the Federal Reserve should cut rates, according to San Francisco fed president mary daly. They are widely expected to cut in july. We spoke exclusively with mary daly at the aspen ideas festival in colorado. If the data comes in and shows significant weaken