This for bloomberg on the economy. I am going to lose the introductions this morning and get right to the moment. Weve got great markets. Yields higher, dow futures up 300, etc. No one is focused on anything but an update on this grim labor economy. Jonathan how quickly can this labor market hell is the question we ask every single month now, and we will ask it continually through the morning . Maybe we getting median estimate , maybe it comes outside of that. But the question hasnt changed. It is how quickly we will heal after a big downturn in a very short space of time. Tom a lot of opinions on that, and of course, as i was just mentioning, across the 10 of the american demographic, it will be a different rate of change for the haves and the havenots. And, what is so important, you nailed this a number of weeks ago, is the damage to the broad middle class. We are focused on the elites at bloomberg, and we are focused on maybe the people that service the elites, but it is a broad swa
Federal reserve vice chairman speaking in washington to the National Association for business economics, saying that the fed is close log monitoring the coronavirus. So maybe a slightly different tone than last week. He said it will be a noticeable impact on china in the First Quarter, and that could spill over to the rest of the global economy. Too soon to speculation on the size or persistence of those global effects the probability of rate cuts reaching alltime highs for the individual contracts, april, a first duty now at 63 , it is probability of a second customer, and now over to 50 for a third cut in december for the first time, so the majority of position in the mart right for you, sara, going along with a huge decline in the tenyear to alltime lows and the downdraft in the stock market is now for there to be three rate cuts this year from the federal reserve. I know we parse every word from every fed official. Is the bottom line here that the fed is maybe storming to warm to t
Ago. S p down by 151. And the nasdaq would open down by about 435 points this is limit down, they cant trade lower than this. Declines at 5 across the board. If this holds at the open, heres what you can expect in terms of the nyse Circuit Breakers that kick in. If the s p 500 dropped by 7 during the course of normal trading, trading halts for 15 minutes to have a cooloff period if it falls by 13 , it halts for another 15 minute period if it falls by 20 trading halts for the remainder of the day since these were implemented many years ago, weve never seen the levels tested. If youre watching the treasury market this morning, the ten year, almost impossible to believe watching how quickly things have fallen the ten year is yielding 0. 487 . Its been less than a week since it fell below a 1 yield and we have seen it collapse. Thats a bounce from earlier. So much of this has been keying off to whats taking place to crude prices over the weekend. Well explain what happened but you dont see
The markets are clearly telling us that the markets are not pricing in the worstcase scenario when it comes to iran, or at least Portfolio Managers not. Stoxx europe 600 gaining some 0. 6 . On bloomberg surveillance, we will be speaking to the president of euler hermes, Wilfried Verstraete. That discussion is up very shortly. Lets get straight to the blumberg first word news. In new york city, heres Viviana Hurtado. We begin with the first stage of the u. S. China trade deal, set to be signed next week. China says its top negotiator is visiting washington, d. C. It is the latest move towards a detente. Contradictory reports this morning are emerging about what caused the ukrainian boeing 737 to crash and iran. Initially blaming a technical issue, then an engine fire. Ukrainian embassy running out terrorism, but then it amended its statement to offer no comment on the cause. All those aboard the plane were killed in the crash. Hong kong preparing a bold plan to boost its economy, accord
Mnuchin and says he is encouraged by chinas verbal commitment to open markets and remove certain investment restrictions as part of a trade deal with the united states. Secretary mnuchin tells reuters china is also pledging to remove forced Technology Transfers as part of the phase one agreement, but he is not at the point to make recommendations to President Trump on the status of the tariffs scheduled to take effect december 15. The Justice Department is close to a sweeping deal in fugitive financier jolo to recoup almost anillion dollars looted from indonesian investment fund. Sources say could be the biggest recovery and an anticorruption crackdown by the u. S. Government. As settlement could be filed soon as this week in a california court. Global news 24 hours a day, onair, and tictoc on twitter, powered by more than 2700 journalists and analysts in over 120 countries. Im mark crumpton. This is bloomberg. Shery live from bloomberg World Headquarters in new york, im shery ahn. Liv