he took the lead for the first time tonight around a half hour ago. okay. and the big dynamic here is kathy barnette had been eating into what might have been a clear win for him. david mccormick coming up the middle as the more moderate, traditional republican candidate, ie not election denying. look, this thing is still tight. it s a o1.1 race. bucks county are coming in with a slight edge to oz right now. but this thing is well within recount territory. this isn t going away. what do row think is happening that there is a slight inch for him? i think trump s endorsement is making a difference. oz doing really well in coal country. something to really pay attention to. mccormick s strength is the suburbs in pittsburgh, where he grew up. but right now you see oz just edging ahead. but this isn t going to be over. this is going to be days. this is in recount territory. every ballot counts right now. 851. did you say days? possibly. we thought hours, maybe. hou
republicans are going to target that seat. republicans won t win that seat. and i ll bet you whatever you want to. it s a pretty competitive seat. i ll bet you whatever you want, republicans will not win that seat. this is not indicative. what you have is what you have in the democratic party is you have a changeover because people feel as if leadership this is more of an outsider versus insider type of election than a referendum on where we are. republicans aren t going to win this seat. and jamie mcleod skinner ran a great race. mark preston, they re not going to win. we re diving deep into oregon politics. cnn polling shows 53% of americans are burned out with politics right now. 23% mark they are fired up. what kind of political figure with break through in this climate? someone s got to be able really to channel that, whatever that is. unfortunately, i don t think that you re going to have somebody we re talking about running up the middle in these race. someon
the oregon race is an example of if i was a democrat running right now, i d have alligator arms around joe biden. i would not want to be hugging on to him because of the way the economy is and all of the issues that are dragging down the ticket. but it s oregon. that s not like indicative of the rest of the electoral field. that is one of the more liberal places in the entire union. but not when it comes to pocketbook issues. people are still concerned when they re paying $5 a gallon of gas. i guess i don t disagree with you. i do think inflation but isn t that what she made about running the right republicans, it s running the right democrat in oregon. you can t extrapolate. and harry and ron can probably. be you can t extrapolate a schrader loss across the democratic field. i don t think that s fair or accurate. the democrats are probably going to lose that seat. kurt slader is a moderate democrat. he is a veterinarian. that seat can easily go republican. and i get if
and their odds of winning all of them in this environment ain t great, which means that they re going to hold the senate, that uprobably have to pick up at least one republican seat, and their best chance is clearly pennsylvania. harry, i want you to weigh in here. listen, different people show up for primaries and the general. so we may see more people come out in the suburbs, more people come out in the stwharks have you. but i ve been watching you talk about john fetterman as well. and unusual candidate in many ways. have casual. i m not sure if i ve ever seen the guy in a suit. but go on here. no, i would say i know something about casual busy the only gentleman here without a tie. look, here is the situation. ron hit it very well. which is democrats need a win here. yeah. i don t really see a situation where democrats hold the senate if they don t win in the state of pennsylvania. wisconsin was spoken about earlier on in the program. but the fact is ron johnson is running
suburbs was where republicans were born in the south cast only about 1/5 of the vote in the republican primaries. again, back to the envelope calculation. and what that means is all of these candidates are competing more for nonurban, increasingly noncollege, culturally conservative voters. and that has a magnetic pole on the entire republican field. where you see even someone like mccormick where in the past might have been the establishment republican candidate saying on breitbart radio yesterday he is going to go be a warrior for the donald trump agenda in washington, even after trump had criticized him. the real story here is how the whole center of gravity in the republican party continues to be pulled in a trumpian direction, whether or not his personal choices are winning. i want to go to harry enten. harry, i would have a question for you but you are, as my mom would say, sitting there looking wise and otherwise. i m looking at two great looking gentlemen at 1:05 in the eas