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WKBT April 14, 2021 8:03 AM Jason Metz - Forbes Advisor Posted: Updated: April 14, 2021 5:52 PM The Colorado State University (CSU) Tropical Meteorology Project Team is predicting an “above average” Atlantic hurricane season this year, with 17 named storms. This includes eight hurricanes, four of which are predicted to become major hurricanes. The CSU team bases its forecasts on models that use 40 years of historical hurricane data and evaluates conditions including: Sea surface temperatures Sea level pressures El Niño Other factors The CSU team cites the likely absence of El Niño as the primary factor for an above-average season. El Niño is a climate pattern in the Pacific Ocean that breaks normal conditions. Hurricane frequency declines in El Niño years due to increased wind shear over the Caribbean and Atlantic, which can tear apart hurricanes as they begin to form.

United statesPhil klotzbachPacific oceanMichael farrarNational flood insurance programDepartment of atmospheric scienceTropical meteorology project teamColorado state universityAtmospheric administrationNational oceanicNational association of insurance commissionersNational centers for environmental predictionAtmospheric scienceIssue hurricane predictionSaffir simpson hurricane windEnvironmental prediction