indistinguishable from his ceiling. if you could consider voting for ron paul, you probably couldn t consider voting for anyone else so i don t think it mattered. what do you think? i think we can all agree that the likelihood of a ron paul nomination is about as likely as a big heat wave in des moines tomorrow. so it s not as big of a factor, i think, in the long-term race as people may be making it out to be today. but let s talk about what happens after iowa because obviously, then there s new hampshire so you say that the likelihood is, well, highly unlikely that ron paul wait a minute, he s second in new hampshire. let me pull up a poll for you. latest numbers from new hampshire, 41% a sizable lead going to mitt romney. 15% ron paul and 11% is newt gingrich. if he wins iowa, does that give him all of the momentum to push him closer to mitt romney there? brad? no, no, i think if ron paul wins iowa it s as if iowa didn t happen. he s not a plausible nominee for
the other reason this kind of advertising works is that most people here in iowa didn t really know anything very much about newt gingrich, so this negative advertising is painting on a blank canvas. of a famous guy who is a blank campus. except there s a john henry aspect to this. newt gingrich earned that positive number he came in here with by live debate performances. right, on his own. he didn t do it by going from town to town. but he performed in the debates. look, newt gingrich knows a lot about policy, about domestic and foreign policy. but iowans didn t know a lot about him. wait a minute. i ll take that up to a point. you cannot sit there and think that the folks of iowa were totally clueless about his tenure as speaker of the house. his his takeover of the conservative movement and moving it into the prominence of 1994, with the historic election. so you can t paint this brush that the people here in this state had no clue who newt gingrich was. they did. they
the other reason this kind of advertising works is that most people here in iowa didn t really know anything very much about newt gingrich, so this negative advertising is painting on a blank canvas. of a famous guy who is a blank campus. except there s a john henry aspect to this. newt gingrich earned that positive number he came in here with by live debate performances. right, on his own. he didn t do it by going from town to town. but he performed in the debates. look, newt gingrich knows a lot about policy, about domestic and foreign policy. but iowans didn t know a lot about him. wait a minute. i ll take that up to a point. you cannot sit there and think that the folks of iowa were totally clueless about his tenure as speaker of the house. his his takeover of the conservative movement and moving it into the prominence of 1994, with the historic election. so you can t paint this brush that the people here in this state had no clue who newt gingrich was. they did. they
politics whose floor is indistinguishable from his ceiling. if you could consider voting for ron paul, you probably couldn t consider voting for anyone else so i don t think it mattered. what do you think? i think we can all agree that the likelihood of a ron paul nomination is about as likely as a big heat wave in des moines tomorrow. so it s not as big of a factor, i think, in the long-term race as people may be making it out to be today. but let s talk about what happens after iowa because obviously, then there s new hampshire so you say that the likelihood is, well, highly unlikely that ron paul wait a minute, he s second in new hampshire. let me pull up a poll for you. latest numbers from new hampshire, 41% a sizable lead going to mitt romney. 15% ron paul and 11% is newt gingrich. if he wins iowa, does that give him all of the momentum to push him closer to mitt romney there? brad? no, no, i think if ron paul wins iowa it s as if iowa didn t happen.
to be severe. welcome to your money. i m ali velshi. august 2nd is the day the treasury department says it will no longer be able to pay all of our nation s bills. and the united states will default on its debt. republicans are going to vote on their own plan this week, complete with spending cuts. but president obama says he won t support deep cuts without increases in taxes. if you re trying to get to $2.4 trillion without any revenue, then you are effectively gutting a whole bunch of domestic spending that is going to be too burdensome and is not going to be something that i would support. david gergen is cnn s senior political analyst. david, there was a time when republican house speaker john boehner and president obama both talked of doing something big to change america s unsustainable economic path. what do you think? do you think that opportunity s lost? well, a week is a long time in politics. it can be a lifetime. i think what s now clear is that the big de