let s keep that on the screen, and, ed, explain why that s important. first of all, in terms of intensity, that is going to dictate who is more likely to vote in the election, number one. number two, that gets into all the economic models i mean all the political models in terms of can he win, can he not win, which all the political models are predicting that president trump will not win re-election where the economic models are predicting he s going to win. but i think the key is, is that shows whether you re connecting with the voters. he s always had very strong intensity amongst his base but he also has a very strong intensity amongst those that are not favorable towards him. that s what he has to watch that is going to help the democrats in the upcoming election. it s a little early, we don t have a democratic nominee yet, and people like warren in particular are not particularly well known by the general electorate. this is a democratic primary electorate that s paying clos
kind of held back initially, hoping that maybe the president would come to him and nancy pelosi and do revitalization of american infrastructure and cut a big deal with them. there was none of that. there was no compromise to bring better health care that s cheaper and that covers everyone. there was go back to the old playbook of tax cuts for the rich, and tax cuts for the rich that are even more skewed than those under reagan and bush. so i think that is why you re seeing these numbers move the way that they are, because a lot of these people, i just have this feeling that they are not their allegiances are very shallow. the reason why president trump won the midwest was not because they all loved him so much. it was because the democrats didn t turn out, and now you re starting to see those intensity numbers really move. well, and you re right, heidi. it s not because they love donald trump so much.
of them showing the president leading. in the face of that, the sea of blue, why does the romney campaign see that they re going to win in the face of that. they re looking at the intensity numbers and the fact that the president on the ballot is at 47.5, 48.1, 48.2 in state after state. i think that s at the real danger point. if you re at 49 or 50, that s a very different deal. at that 47 or 48 number, romney campaign believes the numbers are going to break for them on election day. do you think that? i think there s a chance. i wouldn t be surprised. i think with my head, i look at all the polls, i look at the totality of the polls, and it s clear in the totality of the polling the president has the lead. i also know if that lead is at 47, 48, it s a race, anything could happen going into election day. this is as close a presidential campaign as we have seen. i just in terms of my feeling on it, i m a really bad
swing state polls overall, why does the romney campaign see that they re going to win even in the face of that? they re looking at the intensity numbers and the fact that the president on the ballot is at 47.5%, 48.1%, 48.2%, in state after state. i think that s at the real danger point. if you re at 49d 49%, you re at 50%, that s a very different deal. the 47%, 48% number, romney campaign believes the numbers are going to break for them on election day. do you think that? i think there s a chance. i wouldn t be surprised. i think with my head, i look at all the polls, i look at the totality of the polls, and it s clear in the totality of the polling the president has the lead. i also know if that lead is at 47%, 48%, it s a race. anything could happen going into election day. this is as close a presidential came pain as we ve seen. i just in terms of my feeling on it, i m a really bad predictor, but i try to tell i m trying to figure out whether or not people are being hon
the writing was on the wall. we were going to lose the election. and so it brings out the best in some people. it brings out worst in other people. the senior people on the romney campaign, both sides are confident that they re going to win the election on tuesday. so that isn t coming from the top echelons in the romney campaign, for sure. the confidence of the romney campaign, we both know both sides project confidence. there s more reason for romney than for you guys at this point in 2008. but you do look at the swing state polls coming out. rafts of swing state polls coming out at this point. in 20 polls you get 15, 16, 17 of them showing the president leading. in the face of that, the sea of blue, why does the romney campaign see that they re going to win in the face of that. they re looking at the intensity numbers and the fact that the president on the ballot