miscalculated and i ll explain why but first let me give a shout out to my high school debate coach, mentor and friend, i want him to know i m thinking of him and wish him a speedy recovery. yes, he miscalculated. he deployed his forces in a manner you can read into it and see he was expecting a quick victory. we noticed he s calling up new draftees, instituting conscription and called for foreign fighters from syria to join the russian side. none of that you would do if things went as planned. he miscalculated the question going forward is, is he going to regroup? what is he going to do next? i think it is very uncertain, i would be concerned if i was in eastern ukraine. jon: could he still when this? what is a win? i said at the beginning if ukraine doesn t lose, it wins.