districts that hillary clinton won in 2016 where republican incumbents are battling to hold on this. is going to be certainly historically speaking, republicans are sort of up against it in the house. and they are facing an enthusiasm gap with democrats right now. but, what they do have on their side, we have seen improving numbers on the economy, on the tax cut. i think that s what help contributed to the decrease in the generic ballot number. they also have redistricting in 2010 helped them shore up some of these districts which puts them in a stronger position than they otherwise would have been. martha: you have three races you think are the top races to watch right now, california 39, illinois 6 and virginia 10. why are those and barbara come stock who is at the end of that list we saw her arguing in favor of not shutting down the government because most of her district works for the government, right? right. i picked one in the west. obviously the road to a
democratic majority runs through california, southern california, pickly. a lot of competitive races. ed recognize s district a district clinton won. retiring. open seat. one of the dem s best pickup students. peter rostrum here in illinois, is he a guy who in 2006 when all of the republicans were getting wiped out he won. so if peter ros ross strum is in trouble the republicans might be in a rough ride. barbara comstock the most vulnerable incumbent. this battle is going to be fought in the suburbs around the country and where democrats have they found success in 2016 with well-educated suburbanites and able to make inroads where hillary clinton won or whether republicans can fensd them off. martha: economy ticking up and tax reform is what republicans hope will save the day for them. tom, thank you very much. good to see you tonts.
democrats defending in six states good for republicans. if the republicans win all three states well then it s going to be a huge republican year. you probably have joe manchin getting nervous. pete: the senate while possible, unlikely. the house is what a lot of people. there is no way to pick three must win race. 435 races. i picked three to talk about that are representative. the first in illinois 6 peter roskam. this is a suburban district in illinois. a district that voted for mitt romney by 8 points. voted for hillary clinton by 7 points these are the kind of districts republicans could lose. these are the suburban white college educated women who are not thrilled with donald trump. pete: sure. if republicans lose this seat or others like this. pete: how playing his hand as far as the campaign? is he embracing president trump or running against him. he is trying to say i like some policies but i am
not associated with donald trump. pete: that half approach hasn t been very effective. if you are in illinois 6 or a suburban district, you don t have a great approach right now. pete: got it. this is a race now mia love, i would expect to win she is favored. utah not favorable to democrats. salt lake city mayor. very good candidate. if she runs a good campaign and if political winds by democrats are very strong. mia love could be in trouble. here s the story here. if you and i are talking about mia love s race in october, november, that means the democrats win control of the house: this one, again, stretch for the democrats. pete: obviously she has become a prominent voice for conservatives on capitol hill as well final race i