makes it easier for the wind to bring down trees and power lines, often when the ground is that wet it takes about 40 to 60 mile per hour winds we ll be experiencing 60, 80 potentially higher wind gusts off and on sunday into monday. so you have to take that into account. another thing, stretching from north carolina up towards massachusetts high surf and rip currents are going to be a concern. so going to the beach in virginia or north carolina, keep in mind even though the storm may not make landfall where you are, you are going to have direct impacts from the storm. timing is off depending on the model you look at. american model brings it in late sunday morning the european model late sunday afternoon. that s why we say that lunchtime period on sunday. regardless, you re going to have impacts with this particular storm. and one thing to note, the last time long island had a direct hurricane landfall was gloria
toward its eastern periphery. again, speaks to how large of a storm that is, and why that s significant is the tropical storm force winds extend hundreds of miles away from the center. so the system itself, the eyewall, the area with those 110-mile-per-hour winds, is about 60 miles off the coast of cape canaveral at this hour. of course when you go closer toward this region we re seeing tropical storm force winds all up and down the particular area, and the storm system will gradually shift to the north and we think begin that right turn away from the state of florida sometime around this time tomorrow. and as we go into the overnight hours of wednesday into thursday the storm will shift toward the north and east and potentially at that point get very close to make landfall somewhere around carolinas. the yellow contours indicative of tropical storm force winds already being felt. and as you go in toward tomorrow into thursday morning you begin to see the tropical storm winds transitio
of their ships, there s a bunch of help coming, but they just need the storm to leave and then they can get in there. and that will happen. i mean, i imagine by the time we get to wednesday morning the storm will be all the way up here off the daytona beach area. so that should be far enough away that the seas will get low enough and the seas will die off enough. maybe by the end of today they can try to get some of the emergency response people in there. i mean, they re going to need help for so long and so much help, too. so the forecast path, this was the big update that we just got in. we re still looking at the potential here, category 2 hurricane landfall in areas from south carolina and north carolina and direct impacts of wind surge and also areas could be dealing with inland rainfall problems, too. here is the storm surge map and they re still saying 4 to 7 feet. even though this storm is going to be 100, maybe 125 miles off the coast they still think that 4 to 7 foot is possi
and it is. the key is, it s 550 miles away from florida right now. we don t mind if it s a big huge storm over the open waters. we would like it to weaken from here on out because it s going to get very close to the northern portions of the bahamas, especially freeport area. looks like nassau will be further south, just a glancing blow. for the northern islands, there s a chance it could stall here for maybe 24 to 36 hours. we talk about a major hurricane stalling over the top of a small island, imagine what that s going to be like in your shelters or in your bathrooms, trying to go through that. so our thoughts are with the people in northern bahamas. the cone has shifted about at least half of it is now offshore. dm but the other half is still over central florida so we could easily see direct impact. we could possibly have a major hurricane landfall come tuesday on the central florida coast. some of our computers do show that. one of our more reliable ones,