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Alternate History, Alternate Strategy: What If Japan Never Attacked Pearl Harbor? It doesn’t take too much imagination to postulate alternative strategies for Imperial Japan. Let s explore what might be the ultimate historical counter-factual.  Here s What You Need to Remember: In all likelihood, the American reaction would have proved more muted and more manageable for Japan. Suppose Robert E. Lee had laid hands on a shipment of AK-47s in 1864. How would American history have unfolded? Differently than it did, one imagines. Historians frown on alt-history, and oftentimes for good reason. Change too many variables, and you veer speedily into fiction. The chain connecting cause to effect gets too diffuse to trace, and history loses all power to instruct. Change a major variable, especially in a fanciful way for instance, positing that machine-gun-toting Confederates took the field against Ulysses S. Grant’s army at the Battle of the Wilderness and the same fate befalls you.

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