Germany is set to rein in public and private parties. Its inflation rate falls further below zero. The ecb may need to do more. Christine lagarde speaks in 90 minutes time. Disney cuts deep. They will lay off 28,000 workers at its resort business, leaving one of the deepest economic scars of the covid era. Welcome to the program. Just gone 7 00 in london. Waiting for data to come out from the u. K. Economy and some news expected from shell. Lets get to the u. K. Data first. This is the final reading on u. K. Gdp, coming in not far away from where we anticipated it to be. Estimate was 21. 7. 19. 8 percent for the quarter on quarter numbers. These are all negative. A retreat of 19. 8 in the second corner. The estimate was 20. 4 . Thats just a small detail. We are dealing with incredibly large negative numbers. They are very backward looking. The real question will be, how does that data perform . How has the economy performed since the Second Quarter . How will liberal perform as we head
Improve the quality of both monetary and fiscal policies and in particular the public understanding of them. Under the under the very able leadership of david wessel, weve worked to promote analytical rigor but also to make complex questions relevant. Today one of the most vexing questions for people who participant in markets, but thats a different part of the world, is that inflation has refused to rise, much less persist, at the 2 targets. Key question is, why . While history will be the judge once the data has been interrogated, we dont have time for that, because todays policymakers and investors need to act and to do so require at least a rudimentary answer to this puzzle. Today we have gathered some of the leading experts in the world. Inflation didnt fall as much during the Great Recession as the models anticipated and hasnt risen as much lately. Is it dead or just dormant or has the death been much exaggerated. In my experience, wiped capitulation is the first sign of the bott
Questions relevant. Today one of the most vexing questions for people who participant in markets, but thats a different part of the world, is that inflation has refused to rise, much less persist, at the 2 targets. Key question is, why . While history will be the judge once the data has been interrogated, we dont have time for that, because todays policymakers and investors need to act and to do so require at least a rudimentary answer to this puzzle. Today we have gathered some of the leading experts in the world. Inflation didnt fall as much during the Great Recession as the models anticipated and hasnt risen as much lately. Is it dead or just dormant or has the death been much exaggerated. In my experience, wiped capitulation is the first sign of the bottom. Thats kind of where we are right now. Has Monetary Policy been so well anchored. Have globalization and Technology Made raising prizes difficult . Has the economy evolved in ways the models simply havent been incorporated . And
From a 2 e decline forecast in june. Unemployment falls 4. 1 in the next two years. Inflationerm level of and full employment remains. In the statement, fed officials suggest hurricanes will not have a longterm impact on the overall economy. Hurricanes harvey, irma, andrea has devastated communities conflicting severe hardship and rebuilding will affect Economic Activity in the near term. Passive experience suggest storm is unlikely to alter the course of the National Economy over the medium term. They will affect prices. Higher prices for gasoline will likely boost inflation temporarily. Remain 2 xpected to in the near term. Back tosay it will come the target. As expected, the announcement would be october 9 and treasuries will be announced as well october 21. We can do this with Jeffrey Rosenberg mike, let me go to you first. The reduced inflation along with real gdp is the Macro Economic advisers as a runway to 1. 7 percent, the third quarter. Is this a subpar American Economy, is i
If you go back to say 2013 and consider the until this year, the reasons why inflation was low are not hard to understand its a combination of slack in the labor market, declines in Energy Prices and strong dollar that pulled down import price inflation. So, whats important in determining inflation Going Forward is Inflation Expectations by some by many of professional forecasters those have been rock solid we do also look at Household Expectations which have come down some. Marketbased measures of inflation compensation as we mentioned in the statement, they have declined, and they have been snabl recent months, but they have declined to levels that are low by historical standards. That might suggest that Inflation Expectations have come down, but, when cant get at clear read, there are risk built in to inflation compensation that make it impossible to extract directly with Inflation Expectations are so, you know, there is a miss this year. I cant say i can easily point to a sufficien