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causing this drop. i think the recent good weather we had has meant that people are mixing more outside, where there is less risk of transmission. the ending of the football competitions, we saw large groups of people going to watch football, but has played a role. the sheer numbers of people being asked to self isolate because they are close contacts of people who are infected. some even suggested people may be reluctant, are beginning to become more reluctant, to come forward for tests when they have symptoms. i don t think there is any hard evidence of that yet. but i think what is going to be crucial in the next week or so is seeing whether we see similar scales of falls for hospital admissions. there is always a lag between infections and cases, so it will probably be a week before we truly see that, but i don t think we can be confident whether this scale fall is actually accurate until we start seeing that in the hospital cases. as we

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