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Marilyn Nieves/Getty Images(NEW YORK) No offense to former Texas Rep. Will Hurd and Miami Mayor Francis Suarez, but on Saturday, former Vice President Mike Pence became the first big name to drop out of the 2024 presidential race. It s big news because of Pence s stature within the party, but it wasn t necessarily a surprise: Thanks to his low polling and fundraising totals, some on the 538 team were predicting this as long ago as July. But if you re expecting this to be the event that finally shakes up the Republican primary, think again: Pence s withdrawal isn t likely to give a meaningful boost to any of his fellow anti-Trump candidates. Simply put, Pence s campaign never got going. Thanks largely to his high profile, he started the year polling in third place with 9 percent support, according to 538 s average of national primary polls. But it all went downhill from there: By the time he actually entered the race on June 7 (his birthday!), he was down to 5 percent, and on Saturda

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