As the us exchanges open here in new york. Lets cross live now to Shams Afzal, Managing Director at carnegie investment counsel. Of course, in the last hour, we had that adp data out. How are the markets reacting to this . I think this number, as well as tomorrows total data will probably not change the narrative that has been set already that the Jobs Market has softened quite a bit compared to a year ago. I think the more important data that came out earlier showed the number ofjobs available. If number of jobs available. If you number ofjobs available. If you went back to february 2023, there were almost two jobs open every Wedding Work out there, now that number has shrunk to every 1. 1 jobs to every willing work out there. They are finally getting these numbers so this put the Rate Cut Regime very much intact starting from september and that will be on benefit to the overall capital markets. . Benefit to the overall capital markets. ,. , benefit to the overall capital markets. . ,
We welcome you on the simulcast. Bloomberg radio and Bloomberg Television across this nation and worldwide. This due of news is just extraordinary. An important moment will be Lawrence Kudlow after the jobs report. But jon, i want to talk for a moment about the markets. Affected. Oeing come up 5 . Igit 13 on the s p 500 yeartodate, and the nasdaq 100, lisa has loaded the boat on the nasdaq, up 38 . This is a boom and great bull market. Jonathan record on the nasdaq, just off that on the s p 500. The market has ignored all of the bad stuff over the last month and held onto all of the good stuff. Does that change in 29 minutes . The payrolls report, the estimate for hunted 60,000 the estimate 460,000. Tom Kevin Cirilli talking about the enthusiasm to get something done. We will talk about that in the moment. I love what greg peters of pgim said in the opening credits, the idea that everybody is looking for every bit of yield. To me that has been undersold story this week about how other
Market as well. Tom ive got to be careful here, but ive never seen it before. The dynamics of particularly dow futures have been extraordinary. Nasdaq 100 shows a little bit of persistency, with green on the screen. Jonathan 18 basis point trading range on the treasury yield. It is the election map everyone feared they might wake up to, confronted with the idea that you might have to wait maybe a few more days. Lisa theres several maps that are the worst Case Scenario for markets. We have the potential for a contested election, but also looking like the democrats will be unable to win the senate. Not yet determined, but that is the map. If you look at the Electoral College, it is the path to 270. Former Vice President joe biden currently racking up 238 of those votes, versus 213 of President Trump. It is going to be up to wisconsin, michigan, georgia, pennsylvania, nevada. It is so close that the big take away here is that this was not the blue wave people looking for. This is not the
The uncertainty is out there in the election and particularly on pandemic news worldwide. Jon ferro, we are touching 50 on futures. On radio and tv, we will do more data checks throughout the hour. Rro in withn let fe his famed cross asset that a check as well. Three big figures out on vicks. What is the data on the screen that matters to you right now . Jonathan i just think the news flow out of europe has hijacked the whole agenda morning. The data is looking at the banks and bank equities, particularly in europe. I think the banks this week are down 6 , 7 in europe. Thats where the story is, more restrictions. Macron a little bit later this evening. Reports out of france suggesting a onemonth lockdown. Chancellor merkel talking about proposing restaurants that proposing closing restaurants and bars for a month talking about proposing closing restaurants and bars for a month. It is winter now in europe. That the idea right now not only is the virus increasingly severe throughout euro
Then later he tweeted that he would be willing to cut some checks for americans, extend aid to airlines. Joining us now is kevin cirilli. What is really on the table right now . A small, piecemeal approach. Mark meadows was saying earlier that they are still pressing for democrats to do a piecemeal approach. That is a nonstarter with nancy pelosi. The developments coming as the president tweeting that no fiscal stimulus deal would be on the table until after the election. Should biden went on november 3, it would also mean that a fiscal stimulus deal would still come in the lameduck and even in the first calendar week of the year. Guy you are outside of the debate site for tonights debate. How consequential will tonight debate before the outcome of the election . Kevin republicans are hoping to have some type of major trajectory shift. Vice president pence is one of the leaders inside President Trumps inner circle as it relates to the coronavirus response. He is also trying to send bas