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let s start with this video which shows the incident. you can see the plane here circled. it disappears out of view for a few seconds and then you can see the impact. now, we have verified this. everything in the video is consistent with what we know about the area and the weather this morning in the belgorod region. that was the moment the plane going down about 20 seconds into the video. we see this this smoke plume. could this be a sign that the plane was hit by a missile? well, experts we ve spoken to think, yes, it could be. the open source defence intelligence company believes that this smoke cloud may hint at the use of surface to air missiles. they also told us it could be a warhead detonating near the plane. another expert, mark hansen from the centre for strategic and international studies, has said that this is consistent with an aircraft being shot down. this smoke plume, he says, is consistent with an explosion. so there s that. the governor of belgorod said that

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