in terms of independents, african-americans that mix is critical. and, ellen, another very, very close, perhaps the closest senate race in the country, montana. that s right. and senator tester, the democrat, who might just barely hold on. a lot of outside money going into montana which didn t used to permit that. yes. you know this is all about turnout, as usual. i think there s a lot more momentum in the last 72 years. frankly there was even the last 72 days for some of these races. i think it will be very important to see what the voter turnout is. early voting numbers are ticking up in the states and we ll have to see where they are in montana tonight. what about nevada? what are you seeing out there, david? where harry reid operation proved in the past it s formidable but that you ve got the democratic candidate holding on. this is a seat that could go either way obviously, 48/45 in our latest polling. yeah, i d have to say, i