Chinas leaders meet to draft their next fiveyear economic plan and the virus recovery. We are live in beijing. Adi terry warning warning from the World Health Organization. We are in a dangerous place. We are not going to control the virus. Are we perfectly positioned for risk . I take you to the changing risk in the polls. And thethe bond market polls. A blue sweep from a 62 probability to 51 probability in a month. It is a curve. Overextended to the upside. These are the markets this morning with the risk from the white house. We are not going to control the pandemic. There are lockdowns in spain. Are you pricing equity market risk appropriately . Markets are trading what they see, not on what they hope. Goldman sachs say you will have to reach for risk. Stocks could outperform the credit markets into 2021. I take you into the response mechanism on the australian dollar, a high beta trade. There, the rba could strike next week with lower rates. You just shredded the cost of hedging a
Environment. Businesses, the private and Corporate Bank are fighting through the Interest Rate headwinds, but doing well on executing strategies and offsetting that had went. Thee are uncertainties in Macro Economic environment and that is something we factor in as we manage our businesses, our risks, but we remain quite confident in our outlook and the way we are managing through this pandemic. It is supporting clients, the economy as we all navigate an unexpected environment. Risks, howaging the hard would Deutsche Bank be hit if there would be another wave of lockdowns across europe and elsewhere . James weve built in some conservativism into our numbers, weve taken an overlay, adjustment more conservative in provisions and that prepares us for uncertainties that lie ahead. We are not seeing a deterioration in portfolio beyond what we expected in this environment and while we are all subject to the direction of the economy and potential impact of more distancing and Protection Measu
Plus, so that is a little bit of a lift that is maybe not identified within the euronext. Go, Kevin Cirilli could not sleep this weekend. This is exciting. Ranting cap it is exciting. I have been excited for the last two weeks before this because it is the polls, it is the final stretch. How much campaigning are joe biden and donald trump doing in the next two weeks . Tom it is going to be huge. These guys are in the final stretch. Money is an issue. We will talk a lot about that. Martin schenker joining us in the next hour. What is exciting about this is it gets back to basics. President trump is out there in nevada this weekend. He is in arizona today. Francine there are very few undecided voters from what i understand, and several people have already gotten out the vote. 52 of those are women. Lets get to first word news with ritika gupta. Ritika good morning. In china, economic recovery from the pandemic continued in the third quarter. Ago,ose 4. 9 from a year less than expected bu
This is ferro at his worst. [laughter] his cruelest. Thering mr. Betts into conversation this early, we say good morning on Bloomberg Radio in boston. The red sox, worst in the american league. And we move on from there. 15 days until the election. Schenker earlier, is there going to be a debate thursday night . Is that still up in the air . Jonathan we understand there will be a debate thursday night, but who knows . Thats the problem for this market. My question coming into this week is basically how much of the mediumterm outlook hinges on what happens in the next two weeks. How many of our Market Participants have come on this program and actually believe that . Tom we have two people could talking melt up. Ben laidler at our hudson and Chris Verrone at tower hudson, and Chris Verrone. He is looking at the number of stocks above their 200 Day Moving Average and other smoke and mirrors to really get him a bullish cast. You wonder if it is the markets expecting out into next year. Jo
8 up. A bit of a conundrum, it weaker than anticipated growth number when weve got Industrial Production and retail sales beating what was going on. Graphically, there you go. Retail sales, 3. 3 to the upside and that is what has been going on in aggregate. A mixed bag, a miss on the headline gdp but certainly a beat for Industrial Production and retail sales. Yeah, the topline picture is that China Remains the only major economy that is recovering at a pace like this but nonetheless, yeartodate, growth around 0. 7 . Year, beginning of the officials had hoped to get around 6 growth for 2020. Nonetheless, the fact retail sales came in well above the estimates will for economists who say we should see a broader economic recovery in china fueled by infrastructure. Straight cap to the pandemic, there would be focus on whether or not the consumer would step up and the numbers suggest that is happening. Ubss headore from of asia economics and achieve china economist. Always great to get your