american experiment. that s also why democrats, particularly the president, need to be more focused on persuasion, rather than just condemnation. naming the problem we face is important, but it is not sufficient. why you can t reason people out of something they weren t reasoned into, you can appeal to shared values and you can honor the republicans who protected the peaceful transfer of power. but the big picture is what we really need to keep in mind. defending democracy is a top concern for americans across party lines and we need to channel that in a constructive way, without falling into false equivalency and we can do that by staying true to the facts and applying principles without regard to partisanship. while also appealing to a set a spirit of patriotic grace. and that s your reality check. new day continues right now. an emotional back to school day in uvalde, texas. good morning, everyone. i m john berman with brianna keilar. the return to class has been a sou
of people, border crime, inflation, are not good issues for the democrats, but some things are getting better. the president s approval rating, we re trying to do things relevant for you, who can win the tug of war over what matters most. it is interesting our friend scott jennings with me last night, he said there are two people who really want to be talking about donald trump right now. joe biden, and donald trump. and to an extent, you know, joe biden has created this opening for donald trump to walk in and just what biden wants. and the combination of that with the dobbs decision where and, you know, democrats don t make this case that often, they just talk about the dobbs decision, three of the supreme court justices involved in that were appointed by donald trump. that s less of the issue. when trump pops up, we saw this, we saw this in the 2018 midterm, when donald trump got shellacked by the democrats in the 2018 midterm, suburban america, and we saw this, donald trump ba
i d add one more thought to that. not only has he not reached out to broadier his base, as you say, he is the only press had the support. and can you win a second term if enough neff po stwrchl and as we all know, the lek tras expands out during the presidential years. and so in midterms voters are always older, they re always more conservative and republicans get tutsily swm. got shellacked in 2018. so this strategy makes even less
carry over. bill clinton got his butt kicked in 94 and pretty easily won reelection. president obama got shellacked, pretty easily won reelection. but the president lost republicans. the president was not on the ballot. the republican vote, they lost in the suburbs, their african-american numbers went down from the presidential election, latino numbers went down from the presidential election, the asian numbers went down from the presidential election, the white educated women number went down from the presidential election. he saw his base shrink last night, not grow. that s not good going into 2020. he did something i don t think any of us have seen before, i certainly haven t seen it, he shamed some fellow republicans who were defeated in the elections publicly. listen to this. we saw the candidates that i supported achieve tremendous
of these illegal aliens voting, there s illegal votes. remember, that s why he lost the popular vote to hillary clinton? millions of illegals they didn t. there s no such thing. that s a fraud and a farce. the president s already saying that, planting the seeds that there s illegal voting out there. so he s making excuses, so somebody is telling him tomorrow is not going to be a good day. most republicans if you talk to them today, they say, we re going to loose the house. the question is by how much. if our poll numbers that david chalian just went through, if they re right, that s 35 seats or more. it s hard to get higher than 40 the way the districts are drawn. if it s a double-digit margin on election day, if the president is under 40 in the exit polls tomorrow. watch the exit polls tomorrow. what is the president s approval on election day? baum was around 44%. they got smoked. clinton was around 43%, i think, back in 1994, they got smoked, george w. bush, the same spot, got she