Coronavirus restrictions. The pboc pledges stronger monetary policy. Saudi arabia confronts its own predicament with slashing of spending and tripling vats. The European Commission threatens to sue germany. Sident ursula von warm welcome to the show. The agenda has been set. More stimulus from china and japan. Negative Interest Rate policy is exploding across the u. S. To the market, april fed funds futures for 2021 skirmishing with a negative. According to jpmorgan, you should. There is a big bet negative rates could go to 45 bips in 2021. The dollar, what are the consequences of nirp. Therestrate policy on dollar would be the dollar living on borrowed time according to standard chartered. Dissipating. Ial is we are rolling over. Dollaryen, more news of more stimulus from china and from abe japan could do more helicopter money if needed. The dollar rises, the yen falls. Have a look at the rest of markets. What is the biggest risk of the morning . Asian stocks rise on the stimulus disc
About 2. 4 you are looking at additional declines the dow has improved we were down about 443 now we are indicated down about 366. S p futures indicated down about 32 all major averages saw declines but the dow was the biggest. S p off by 1. 8 . Nasdaq down by just 1 yesterday. A lot of it as we watched oil prices under pressure. Lets check thetreasury market 10year yielding below 0. 6 at 0. 0. 58 . Oil prices yesterday, nobody has ever seen anything like this no. Lead story went to minus 37. 63 a barrel. No place to put it people would like to store it. More people watching june switch over june is not much better obviously. No. I was shocked how much pressure that is under too. Big gain of 80 . Futures, strange things happen not everybody Takes Delivery reflecting the lack of capacity. I think peak oil might have been maybe not a real thing going back we are a wash in oil. Understanding all of the oil not being used crude delivery closed at 18. 27 and went to minus 37. 63 means selle
Dow. Stocks are having a nice bounce on some renewed optimistic about reopening the economy in various states of the nasdaq closing in on going flat for the year oil is up on signs of gas repairing. A general believe in a Third Quarter rebound has some exists warning too much optimism too early. For that we will turn to steve lease man. Carl, good morning. The rapid update does indeed show this historic, unprecedented Second Quarter decline. A Third Quarter rebound. And i want to talk about that. The Third Quarter rebound is even more ingrained. Stocks trade on this idea after we get through the Second Quarter, you will have a Third Quarter rebound. Down 34 after minus 6 . Up 16 in the third. Up 12 in the fourth 7 in the first quarter. Not enough to make up for the year where the average of our 11 economists is 5 decline but take a look now at a bunch of outliars. They are contrarians on the street on this Third Quarter rebound. The q3 rebound bears bank of america, minus 1 . Rsm up ju
U. S. Unemployment about 20 , nearing the 25 we saw during the great depression. The house is set to vote any minute now on this additional relief package that would release 300 billion in funds for Small Businesses. I want to bring in taylor riggs. I want to start with this news out of gilead. Having the s p 500 was some strong gains right out of the gate and then it dipped into negative territory two or three times the lot of the volatility and the weakness coming off the headline we got. It was a Financial Times seen the that they had who accidentally leaked results from a chinese trial. The drug failed to show a positive result. From thely removed it website but the damage was already done. Gilead came out and said the study of the results accidentally published were mischaracterized. The trial had to stop because not enough patients could be found. The results are inconclusive. Damage to gilead scientists and damage to the rest of the market had already been done. It shows you how
Retail certificate going to zero not every biotech will keep growing every day. Thats the way it feels on a gay when oil imploded. The stock market got slammed because of it. Dow losing 592 points. S p sinking 1. 79 , why, of course its got a lot of tech and biotech. I dont blame a soul for being confused here. Buy, buy, buy a. Sell, sell, sell. The situation is, confusing were in Uncharted Waters now. It doesnt lend itself to easy explanation. We have to take them one at a time because some of these are so extreme they almost feel like science fiction. Like the price of oil falling to negative 37 and change today. Yeah, thats right you heard me, negative 37, minus sign lets start with oil as that meltdown was terrifying to watch. At dawn crude was a buck and a half, little below 20, seemed okay by the time the stock market opened it was down to 11, negative whoever owned the oil last had to pay someone else to take it off their hands. Next thing you know it was negative 10, negative 2