Immediately but it grew on me. And i look back now and i think some of my views involved in recent years to fall back on if i was stillwnhi wouldnt read t. Rose we conclude this evening with david kelly and his brother tom kelly. They have written a new book called creative confidence. Im thinking is that methodology that weve always used as designers. You know, its kind of like, you know, its a process like when a writer has a blank piece of paper and cant figure out how to get started, its our way of Getting Started on that. You know, understanding humans, building prototypes and telling stories about the future. I mean, the designers have this lovely job, inherently positive profession because your always painting a picture of the future with your new idea in it and see if anybody like it. Rose Alan Greenspan, david kelly, tom kelly when we continue. Captioning sponsored by Rose Communications from our studios in new york city, this is charlie rose. Let me start off by just saying,
Writing this book. I had to discard the basic premise which all classical economists or those of us who were involved in that form of economics and computerbase models, and have to look at fundamental premise. And i basically assumed as we all did that not only, that fdamental premise is that human beings act in their own long term self interest most of the time. But the general belief of all economists who are forecasting, is while it is not only most of the time but when it isnt, its random. And you can disregard it because it cant be muddled. What shocked me is when i started to try to actually model it and i was getting extraordinarily, extraordinary results. Rose and what were they . Basically, that socalled animal spirits, which is a term rose talking abouthe john precisely. And they are deep seated aspects of human nature. Predictable ways. For example, you can measure fear. Everybody responds to fear when their values are say life and limb and net worth under stress. But how th
I had to discard the basic premise which all classical economists or those of us who were involved in that form of economics and computerbase models, and have to look at fundamental premise. And i basically assumed as we all did that not only, that fundamental premise is that human beings act in their own long term self interest most of the time. But the general belief of all economists who are forecasting, is while it is not only most of the time but when it isnt, its random. And you can disregard it because it cant be muddled. What shocked me is when i started to try to actually model it and i was getting extraordinarily, extraordinary results. Rose and what were they . Basically, that socalled animal spirits, which is a term rose talking about the john precisely. And they are deep seated aspects of human nature. Predictable ways. For example, you can measure fear. Everybody responds to fear when their values are say life and limb and net worth under stress. But how they react will b
Writing this book. I had to discard the basic premise which all classical economists or those of us who were involved in that form of economics and computerbase models, and have to look at fundamental premise. And i basically assumed as we all did that not only, that fundamental premise is that human beings act in their own long term self interest most of the time. But the general belief of all economists who are forecasting, is while it is not only most of the time but when it isnt, its random. And you can disregard it because it cant be muddled. What shocked me is when i started to try to actually model it and i was getting extraordinarily, extraordinary results. Rose and what were they . Basically, that socalled animal spirits, which is a term rose talking about the john precisely. And they are deep seated aspects of human nature. Predictable ways. For example, you can measure fear. Everybody responds to fear when their values are say life and limb and net worth under stress. But ho
Writing this book. I had to discard the basic premise which all classical economists or those of us who were involved in that form of economics and computerbase models, and have to look at fundamental premise. And i basically assumed as we all did that not only, that fundamental premise is that human beings act in their own long term self interest most of the time. But the general belief of all economists who are forecasting, is while it is not only most of the time but when it isnt, its random. And you can disregard it because it cant be muddled. What shocked me is when i started to try to actually model it and i was getting extraordinarily, extraordinary results. Rose and what were they . Basically, that socalled animal spirits, which is a term rose talking about the john precisely. And they are deep seated aspects of human nature. Predictable ways. For example, you can measure fear. Everybody responds to fear when their values are say life and limb and net worth under stress. But ho