yeah, and i can tell you, steve, we heard from j. d. vance himself pointing to pulling inaccuracies. obviously, you re just looking at what we ve seen, history has shown us in the past in the state tim ryan on the other side of this race. we ll tell you that he is trusting what he sees on the ground. compared to the polling. but money doesn t lie. we ve seen a huge infusion of cash from national republicans, a group along with senate majority mitch mcconnell to help boost j. d. vance in recent months. that tells us at minimum they re focusing on this race trying to defend the seat for republicans. what really stood out to us about covering this back and forth between ryan and vance in recent months. is that unlike other races where you ve seen democratic candidates stressing issues like election integrity and abortion for tim ryan. congressman right now. he s really zeroed in on the economy, specifically buzzwords of jobs, workers china. probably three of the words we
at the door but they re not there for him. i think this is the balance he s looking at here, in the final weekend. he wants trump and mastriano to get some of that energy and enthusiasm and drive up the turnout in the western part of the state and then hope, you know, trump s not on the ballot. and oz has done a lot to try and soften his image and he s a lot of non confrontational message in philadelphia in the suburbs and hope that s enough to thread the needle but this is perhaps a close senate race, in the country. and it wouldn t surprise me if you don t know on election night and we re still counting a couple days later. it took us to 11:30 am saturday at the election to call pennsylvania in 2020, point of reference for some folks there. david, i want to ask you her dash in that report talk about how much they oz campaign has been focusing on the issue of crime, we see that in pennsylvania we see that elsewhere and attempt by republican candidates they feel the wind back in part
says, how democrats mishandled crime is the headline, in his view. he says they conducted research quoting from the piece here in the african american hispanic and asian american communities all of those communities pointed to the rising worry about crime, and they were worried more about the rising crime than the rise in police abuse, yet democrats throughout 2021 focused almost exclusively on the latter. he s making the case in this piece that the democrats created in the way they addressed crime in the last couple of years, they created a political opportunity, that republicans like mehmet oz can take advantage of and are taking advantage of. is he right? first of all, i tend to like those pieces that come out after the election. i find him to be most helpful. then, if you re gonna navigate a little bit. steve, listen, iran races for a very long time as you know. and every race, this isn t new.
democrats have lost because of that. they ve got to win big in those collar counties around philadelphia, montgomery county, and those suburbs. that s also where arts had tried to chip away at fetterman s lead there. he s been targeting suburban women in particular with a lot of messaging, steve, around crime and inflation. and public safety. as we ve been talking to voters, that message has been resonating. but you re absolutely right. there s a risk in the rally he will be attending this weekend. not only because he will be there on stage with trump, who lost pennsylvania, but also because the other name at that rally s republican candidate for governor, don mastriano. many republicans in we talk to hearsay is too far right, to extreme. the senate race s neck and neck. the governor s race democrat joshua pirro has a huge lead. which, steve you know very well
that shows the contest within a point, there s another polling average by 5:38 that shows the contest at one tenth of one percentage point, between the two. that s how close it is. there is a possibility that neither candidate gets to 50% required by state law to avoid a runoff. in which case, it would be on december 6th would be when that runoff is held, and if democrats hold their own elsewhere, georgia s runoff could once again decide which party controls the united states senate. now, there s no question, steve, that down the stretch herschel walker had the momentum. he s got political gravity on his side. he s in a state where republicans have structural advantages, as a republican stronghold, about two years ago when presidents low approval rating concerns about the economy are propelling him on the other hand you have raphael warnock who s sharpened his attacks lately, portraying herschel walker as someone who is unfit to serve in the senate, given his lack of knowledge about th