today and do you think ron paul could walk away the winnrn? number one, maine won t make or break romney. he really needs to change the narrative. the maine caucuses are a bit of a strange beast. they re actually a weeklong series, they re nonbinding. more of a presidential straw poll. mitt romney did come in friday and saturday, sort of raised the profile as ron mention of what s going on there. but a lot of the kauks uses already took place. the state is tallying the results and keeping it secret. they ll announce the results tonight at a big event. the state party chairman believes it will be one way or the other 200 votes, romney or paul. it will be close. i want to look at the national polls with you, knee yam leak ka. as we look at the national poll with mitt romney in the lead, 33%, san form 23%, gingrich with 22%. the latest gallup tracking poll also hasan torm ahe santorum ah
electorate. newt has a very high negative that romney doesn t have. head to heads show romney defeating obama or them running closely. i ve not seen any survey that shows that it s newt gingrich who can defeat barack obama. that s what i m talking about. i want to bring up this gallup tracking poll. it shows romney has a one-point lead over newt gingrich nationally. 29, 28. i want top play a bit of this romney ad released today going after newt gingrich. let s play it. florida families lost everything in the housing crisis. newt gingrich cashed in. gingrich was paid over 1$1.6 mlg mlgds by the agent that helped create it. he resigned from congress in disgrace and cashed in. the campaign ads, the super
in this week s gallup poll he s at 6% in both the cbs poll and pew research poll over the weekend. in the poll out last week he s even worse at 4%. putting together his three best of those results, still the most generous average he gets doesn t cut it. less than 7%. 7% is the cut off. cnn has a take on it that s very generous to rick perry. cnn says, yeah, you only got 6% in the poll. but if you look at a different part of the poll, not reported at a result. not the one everyone reported as the important thing, but if you look at a different section of the raw polling data, there was
a different way of asking the presidential preference question that did result in rick perry getting 7% instead of six. if you balance that very raw data result with an earlier gallup tracking poll, and then you average those against the one poll where he did get seven. you can get three sort of polls at 7%. he can qualify sort offish, asteris asterisks. since mr. perry did decide to stay in the race after new hampshire, he has lost one key south carolina donor and supporter. he objects to mr. perry taking on mitt romney for being a vulture capitalist and to add injury to insult. that donor is not just leaving rick perry s team. he plans to endorse plom. joining me now is felici
they are. they say no. they are not changing the rules for rick perry. they re just looking at his pull numbers in a very creative way. the deal is he needs an average of 7% of three polls. all right. so three polls. averaged together they have to come up to 7%. they have to all be polls from january. either from south carolina or polls for the whole country. rick perry is at 5% in the insider advantage poll. he s at 5% in the cnn poll out last week. any three average out to 5%. because they re all 5 pk. in south carolina rick perry is mr. 5%. so how about the national polls? in the national polls, he s again 5%.