Wednesday. Closing the day up by 123 points still on track for major indices to see the third week in a row looking at dow futures s p 500 down by 10, nasdaq down by 25. What happened . Stocks took a dive it was more a product of the percentages were going up for powell to have another cut all but factored in. Bad news has become good news. Good news has become good news if you look at the december percentage cut, it doubled 30 to 60 . October, yes december, yes. Sort of. The market took that as a positive well see what happens today the jobs report is the all important one that hits in 2. 5 hours time. Looking at what happened overnight in asia. The nikkei ended up by about a third a percentage point the hang seng is up just over 1 you are looking at a mixed picture. Not Much Movement for the dax or the ftse a little weakness in italy and spain. Looking at treasury yields coming under pressure on this data in terms of the ism manufacturing numbers and the nonmanufacturing ism we got y
We are seeing a little bit of psychiatry and a lot of focus is a alive have and what that is on the fed and on a repo rates and the global reaction. This is the stocks europe 600, unchanged. Pretty much flat. U. S. 10 year yield will move does next. At the fed we are 42 days away from exit brexit. It is the second day of the Supreme Court hearings to see whether Boris Johnson programming parliament was illegal. Coming up, we speak to the chief executive a chief of a retail and Global Supply chains. But first, lets get news. Neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu or his rival look to have a clear path to form a clear government. Exit polls indicate the two blocks are neck and neck. Official results are not expected until next thursday. There will not be and cannot be a government that leans on arab, antizionist parties that negate the very existence of israel. Parties that exult and appraisal bloodthirsty terrorists murdering our soldiers, citizens, and children. Carney mayu. K. , ma
Lets take a look at what is happening in asia too. Those markets were closed. Hang seng off by. 1 and the shanghai up about a quarter percent. Youll see at this hour, slight gains across the board italy up three major averages up. 1 to. 2 . The tenyear is yielding 1. 772 . The 30year at 1. 28. We were just talking about all of this. All of those moves made. Pretty confusing to figure out what was happening and why i think there are a lot of people looking at a lot of these small events and does it have bigger implications. In this environment where everyone is feeling uncertain. I think these fractures make more people nervous. Whether this is a bigger issue, i will know this weighs on investors sieky i had a 2007, summer of 2007 bnp scare. There was maybe 2 billion that was frozen, sub prime and there was a freak out. At the time, it didnt feel meaningful this is the first time the fed stepped in the only time they did this was in the middle of a crisis. Thats right. This is a warning
Dissents was back in 2016 when there was a vote of no change, they wanted to hike. The projections show a very divided Federal Reserve. Seven fomc members forecast a third cut this year. That is one more from where we are now. That would bring the rate down to 1. 63 or the average rate. Five members see no need for any cuts at all. They didnt even want the one today. If everybody had a vote. Not all the members vote it would have been five dissents from today if they voted that way and five more forecast just the one cut this year. Put it all together and do all the imagine. The median is at this is it in terms of cuts thats the median of the funds rate forecast for the Federal Reserve. That said, the plurality does see one more cut coming which is seven, does it include the chairman we dont know. Thats going to be important now, the fed also lowered the interest on excess reserves, and another administrative rate in order to atept to get ahold of the fed funds rate, which as weve been
Five officials believe the federal fun rate should be at same rate. Five would like to see the rate at level it was before this meeting today. Now the Federal Reserve raises the gdp forecast to 2. 2 this year. Also see the Unemployment Rate nudging up to 3. 7 by the end of the year. Core inflation they do believe stays the sail at 1. 8 by the end. Year. In the statement everything was basically the same there except they added the fixed Business Investment and exports have weakened, changing from soft, Federal Reserve says they will act as appropriate to stay in expansion. Now on the shortterm funding costs that you were talking about, charles, the Federal Reserve lowered interest on excess reserves. Lowered interest on excess reserves by 30 basis points. The Federal Reserve sets it 20 basis point under the top range of the federal funds rate. They will continue the overnight repo operations to stablize the federal funds rate. They set the rate on the overnight repos five points under