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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets Balance Of Power July 13, 2024

November is the number which remains high in historical comparisons. The consumer is not falling off a cliff and that is important because as we look into 2020, it is the consumer which will be doing the legwork and driving prices. David you are our chief economist. It seems like different data in different directions. The university of Michigan Consumer was high. It seems like it is up and down. Can you get a clear picture of where the u. S. Economy is right now. Tom our view is we are looking at a slow down, but not a meltdown. The key way to look at this is through the lens of the job data. A year ago, even at the beginning of 2019, we were looking at a u. S. Economy creating a solid 200,000 new jobs a month. 2019,e are at the end of the run rate has come down considerably, we are closer to 100,000 than 200,000 now, but that is still enough job creation to keep unemployment at a 50 year low, to keep wage growth at a solid 3 or even higher. With that Unemployment Rate in that pace of

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