As Russia’s invasion of Ukraine continues and many call for a strengthening of sanctions, an alternative to a full energy embargo has been discussed in the form of EU tariffs on imports of Russian gas. The IGM Forum at Chicago Booth invited its panels of leading US and European economists to express their views. As this column reports, nearly three-quarters of the experts
What are the likely economic consequences of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the responses by the international community? The IGM Forum at Chicago Booth invited its panel of leading European and US economists to express their views. As this column reports, an overwhelming majority of the experts think that the economic and financial sanctions that have been implemented to
Ruud de Mooij, Michael Keen, Victoria Perry
Leaders of the advanced economies of the G7 recently made what they described as a “historic commitment” on taxation of multinational corporations (G7 2021).
The IGM Forum at Chicago Booth, which, for nearly a decade, has been regularly polling some of the world’s top economic experts in the US and Europe for their views on topical issues of public policy, invited its European and US panels to express their views on some of the issues surrounding the global deal on corporate taxes: the impact of a global minimum rate on investment, profit-shifting and low-tax jurisdictions (Acciari et al. 2021); whether a stable international tax system that includes a global minimum rate can be achieved (Laffitte et al. 2021); and a potential move from levying taxes based on where firms’ headquarters and production are located to where they make their sales.
Romesh Vaitilingam 08 February 2021
The UK’s exit from the EU was finally completed on 1 January 2021. The IGM Forum at Chicago Booth invited its panels of leading European and US economists to express their views on the likely long-term effects of Brexit on both the UK economy and the aggregate economy of the remaining 27 EU members. As this column reports, a strong majority (86% of the panellists) agrees that the UK economy is likely to be at least several percentage points smaller in 2030 than it otherwise would have been. Views are more divided on the EU-27 economy: nearly a quarter of respondents agree that it will be at least several percentage points smaller in 2030 than it otherwise would have been; but more than a third are uncertain; while 41% do not expect the impact to be that strongly negative.