If you bought it at four, thats the problem inflation wise, youre not necessarily down with inflation falling. You no he know what im saying youre going to make money because eventually theyre going to come down. Thats what i dont understand f youre telling me right now this isnt a good deal, youre telling me that im going to be able to get the ten year. Im telling you two things. Youll get your principal back and it is part of any diversified portfolio to have a large part in bonds where you know youll get your principal back thats all i can guarantee you. Year. 2 years from now, if rates fall and inflation goes down, wake up at 3 and you lock in higher rates, they always make a mistake in the bond market. Back here is what i was really thinking, i was asking experts about this this morning, we are getting into hazy territory because we are going cross discipline here. Im looking at 4. 4 and im thinking isnt there a 4 rule for 401 k retirement . At what point do we go to the territory
And check out the nasdaq. Also at record levels, a whopping 44 this year. Did you guys all have your money in nasdaq stocks this year . As you know, were not allowed to hold individual stocks. But you can hold nasdaq and qqqs. Its on pace to have the best performance in 2003. You act like you didnt have it. I have a 401 k . You want me to ask. Where do you have europes, steve . In a boat, a couple of boats. Yes, thats right the s p, half a percent. That index is up just 24 this year. And, of course, you made some money in treasuries as well if you invested at the right time. Take a look at treasury yields. There we go. 4. 01 on the 30year, 3. 87 on the 10. 3. 87 on the 5, and 4. 29. I dont know. Do you think 2024 is the year when we disinvert . Thats a question we have to be watching. Yeah, definitely, absolutely. Do you think happens . Why has it been inverted for so long is the question . As the fed does its thing, you would expect a disinversion yield curb. Eventually. It may not ha
What higher for longer means with Interest Rates. We had conversations yesterday that to me were troubling and i started to think about things. It was transitory. The supply chain part. Transitory. There is maybe an underlining rate of inflation that is higher and it is harder to deal with and it has to deal with crude. It reminds me now it is supposedly not like the volcker era. Wages and unions and workers demanding more. The wage price spiral that picks up and higher wages. Thats what the fed is watching. We paused and only to restart. It was not putting a stake in the heart of it in the first place. A little bit stays and it comes back and you do higher. Stop again. It was the stop and start of the 70s which is what happened. Is that happening again . If you look at inflation in other parts of the globe, it is higher. The uk is operating at 6 . They dobnt have the dollar. That bugs me. 3 . South america averaging 30 . It used to be higher inflation. How many is a candy bar in zimba
Right now as we are about three weeks after the election, that both president elect donald trump to the brink of office, a book that might be more timely for this moment in america and indeed, the turnout today for the book forum suggests theres widespread interest in the content of this book. I have to say also, im delighted to have today as speakers, both one of the authors, ben beginsberg, and don kettle, longtime friends o mind who have worked in the Political Science area, and Jennifer Bacher ner a good friend. And donald trump raises the question on the american agenda for some time, which is a deep dissatisfaction with much of the country that is outside the beltway. I remember one time may have been this fall sitting around thinking, after having lived in washington for some really about 25 years now you know thelight out there might really be different and this from a person who works at the Cato Institute who has professional commitment to the idea that life is better and out
Created, wages are rising, and more people are looking for work. Confident theyll find a job. The numbers speak for themselves. The economy added 215,000 payroll positions last month. The Unemployment Rate edged up to 5 . But thats due to more people entering the labor market looking for work. And average Hourly Earnings rose. Hampton pearson has more on the jobs jolt and what it may mean for Interest Rates. Reporter in march, big gains and retail trade, construction, and health care were the engines of job growth. The Unemployment Rate went up but there was good news because more americans came off the sidelines to look for work. But not all of them found jobs. Those returning jobseekers also helped boost the Labor Force Participation rate to 63 , the highest in two years. Something leading economists say should please fed chair janet yellen. Weve got more Labor Force Participation so we can actually grow at a steady pace for longer without igniting inflation. So overall, really its a