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Gold Q3 Fundamental Forecast: Outlook Deteriorates for Gold Prices Advertisement Q3 Gold Forecast Overview: Shifts in the US Treasury yield curve, on balance, suggesting a period with stronger short- and intermediate-term rates, has been consistent with a stronger US Dollar and weaker gold prices. The expectation that the combination of loose monetary policy and expansionary fiscal policy will soon end has started to strengthen, for two main reasons. Over the past five years, gains by US real yields have been generally correlated with losses by gold prices. Rising US Real Yields are Problematic It’s been said before, but it’s more important now than in months past. It’s important to view recent price action across asset classes through the lens of asset allocation and risk-adjusted returns. Gold, like other precious metals, does not have a dividend, yield, or coupon, thus rising US yields – importantly, real yields – are problematic.

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