so north carolina still in play for trump. a huge priority this is the big blocking state for hillary clinton. and we talked about this last night. i m going to show again because of the date of this poll in new hampshire. this captures some voters through the 30th and hillary clinton with a big lead there. if you talk to the campaigns, it is not so much the public polling but look at the candidates. hillary clinton going back on tv in colorado. increasing ad buys in wisconsin. and back up in michigan as well. so the clinton campaign advertising spending tells you they are concerned. i wouldn t say they are panicked yet by any means. trump and pence in pennsylvania and wisconsin after michigan yesterday. any evidence the republicans are in position to turn these states? not yet. when you look at donald trump in pennsylvania, look how big of a lead that was. that s five points for then president obama four years ago. michigan was even a bigger race for president obama. next door to
why hillary clinton is focusing on alicia machado. that is why. because a all of these suburban women, the issue of donald trump treats women is incredibly powerfully. incredibly impactful. and you saw from john how difficult it really is even know. even as the polls are tightening. which by the way we all expected him do that. the hillary clinton campaign certainly expected to that and what she has is the ground game, the volunteers, the focus on pulling everybody out, every single one of her voters out to vote. this is the infrastructure she s been built for the last year and a half and i think it is going to pay off. one thing pennsylvania doesn t have is early voting. it is one of the states that does not have early voting and one reason trump is smart to focus there. can he get it? incredibly hard. it looks winnable but it is 20. that is why you look at it. it s 20. if you are donald trump you need a big blue.
it is his only choice. rest of the panel joining us. jeffrey where do you see his best bet? i think they are trying pennsylvania. the internal poll is telling them. there is only one reason to go back there and that is because the polling is telling you this. and that is the suburban counties around philadelphia. western pennsylvania i checked with a source today is really very strong pushing for donald trump as is central pennsylvania. you need that so help carry you through the east. and if he can turn any one of those counties he may be able to scary the state. maria duke pennsylvania is likely. i think that is what they are look at for donald trump. but i think that also tells you
plus they are ahead at the moment in the public polling in arizona. they think the biggest drive out there, yes donald trump but also sheriff of maricopa county is getting latinos the register and. if hillary clinton can take arizona. if she can keep that one blue, puts her up to 280. say donald trump takes nevada. i know maria is going to argue but i ll give donald trump nevada. and leave utah alone. a lot of people think the third party candidate could take utah. if donald trump is perfect, gets florida. gets north carolina. and gets ohio. completely within reach. all of those states. the clinton app campaign is fighting more in flor florida in pennsylvania than ohio. possibility trump wins them all. how does he get to 270? that is why these are so important. he has to turn a big blue and that is why you see him testing the waters there. maybe he ll do better out there and get nevada and utah. but even if he does that he needs one of the big blues.