Taiwan has a potential defensive force of 450,000 troops – without any civilian militias that could likely be quickly organized. Using the traditional three-to-one ratio of attackers to defenders taught at war colleges to mount an invasion successfully, China would need more than 1.2 million troops.
The subjugation of China to foreign powers during the 19th and 20th centuries shapes the way China views Taiwan today, and an underestimation of its importance in US foreign policy could lead to a failure of deterrence in the Taiwan Strait.
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