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Scientists explain why climate models can t reproduce the early-2000s global warming slowdown

 E-Mail IMAGE: Warming rates during the rapid warming period (1975/01-1997/12) (a) and the warming hiatus period (1998/01-2013/12) (b) and the warming rate change during the hiatus period relative to the rapid warming. view more  Credit: ©Science China Press A new study led by Dr. Wei and Dr. Qiao from the First Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources provides an evaluation of the performance of the newly released CMIP6 models in simulating the global warming slowdown observed in the early 2000s. This study reveals that the key in simulating and predicting near-term temperate change is to correctly separate and simulate the two distinct signals, i.e., the human-induced long-term warming trend and natural variabilities, especially those at interannual, interdecadal and multidecadal scales. This work was online published in SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences on April 15th, 2021.

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