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the first republican presidential debate of 2016 is just, get this, 11 weeks away. fox news and facebook are hosting it on august 6th, in cleveland, ohio. there could be 16 or more declared republican candidates by then, but only 10 will go on stage. who is going to make the cut? according to the rules, participants must place in the top ten in the average of the five most recent recognized national polls leading up to august 4th. they have to meet constitutional requirements, and file with the fcc and file fees. they will look at the criteria for the polls and decide as we go forward. if you looked at the real clear politics, average of polls today, this is your top ten. you want to take a look here. this is who would actually make the cut if the debate were happening tomorrow, and we were actually going to use rsvp polls. six, maybe ten possible