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Will Belarusian Westernizers Recover?
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Grigory Ioffe: The international dimension of Belarus s political crisis | KyivPost
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A Year On: The International Dimension of Belarus s Political Crisis
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Year 2020 in Review: The Saga of a Bitterly Divided Belarusian Society
Publication: Eurasia Daily Monitor Volume: 18 Issue: 2
(Source: Getty Images)
At the beginning of 2020, Belarus was becoming increasingly assertive and willing to resist Russian pressure tactics (see EDM, January 14, 2020). And that assessment remained valid at least until late May. Against the background of Belarus and Russia’s lingering oil price dispute, US Secretary of State Michael Pompeo visited Minsk, on February 1, and declared that the United States could satisfy Belarus’s entire petroleum demand. Also that month, the first analysis of the Belarusian economy by the banker Victor Babariko was publicly released: the document pointedly described Belarus as a drug addict that needed to wean itself off Russian aid. Even Nobel laureate Svetlana Alexievich, invariably critical of Alyaksandr Lukashenka, opined that at present, the Belarusian president’s personal interest matches “ours” as it boils do
Popular narrative tropes are not always accurate predictors of how a story will ultimately develop. Svetlana Tikhanovskaya, the former presidential hopeful and a person believed by many to have won the presidential elections of August 9, is widely seen as a positive character in the unfolding Belarusian drama. Courageous and likable, she does her best to rally international support for the protest movement in her home country.
Ms. Tikhanovskaya has already met personally with six heads of state. And last week (December 10), Israel’s ambassador to Lithuania visited her office in Vilnius to explain that even though his colleague in Minsk had recently presented his credentials to President Alyaksandr Lukashenka (Belta, November 24), this did not reflect Israeli support for Mr. Lukashenka’s policies (Nexta, December 10). By all accounts, Western leaders are fond of hobnobbing with Ms. Tikhanovskaya, continuously professing her moral stature and ostensibly pending leadership. On Dece