reporting that the belief based on your model and your projection from the national hurricane center it could come at high tide. guest: that is not good combined with the storm surge, the rise in the ocean water produced by the storm, the result is a high total of water level, and 6 to 12 above ground level above your toes, somewhere in alabama, and mississippi, but we cannot pinpoint who gets the worst and the highest and that is why people are told to evacuate by the emergency management officials. shepard: from a purely storm fascination front, the pressure on this thing is not very high, 984 millibars, the water is warm, not as warm as it was, do you have an understanding, yet, as to why this thing has not