impressive. and this right here is where the maximum winds are. through there, through there and here and here. if, if we can build another eye wall around this in the shelf now, the gulf of mexico where this is getting shallower. if we can get rid of that warm, deep water and get an eye wall replacement cycle, the storm could go back to 120. that would be amazing. it is not the number we re looking at. it is the size of this thing. it continues to effect all the way through talahassee and west. it has a very low pressure and really the only hope we have of getting these numbers down would be that eye wall replacement cycle. right now it is not in the cards but it does happen sometimes when the water gets shallow, so we re crossing our fingers here. all right.
this has got a lot she s got tricks up her sleeve. but the eye wall replacement, when you spin a top on a table, it can only sustain that strength and that centrifugal force for so long. it s got to go through these cycles. but what happens is that tight eye starts to wobble, and it throws the winds out, and it creates an outer eye band. once that outer eye band forms, it tightens back up, and it gains its strength. but this is interesting. each time it goes through one of those cycles, which could be eight, nine, ten, 11 hours to take the process and take it through, it pushes the winds out from the center. so every time we have an eye wall replacement cycle, the strong winds go out farther. they go out farther. so our winds, our hurricane winds now, are from the center out 140 miles. the tropical storm force winds that have been extending out from the center are now 320. that s what happens when it goes through these cycles. so you can see with the angle of
when you spin a top on a table, it can only sustain that strength and that centrifugal force for so long. it s got to go through these cycles. but what happens is that tight eye starts to wobble, and it throws the winds out, and it creates an outer eye band. once that outer eye band forms, it tightens back up, and it gains its strength. but this is interesting. each time it goes through one of those cycles, which could be 8, 9, 10, 11 hours to take the process and take it through, it pushes the winds out from the center. so every time we have an eye wall replacement cycle, the strong winds go out farther. they go out farther. they go out farther. so our winds, our hurricane winds now, are from the center out 140 miles. the tropical storm force winds that have been extending out from the center are now 320. that s what happens when it goes through these cycles. so you can see with the angle of the coastline, that increasing surge that s going to take place, that wind-driven wave
10 feet. ainsley: i read 20 feet in one article. janice: up to a foot right now ginsding on where the storm makes landfall. it s the right front quadrant that you get the worst of the rain and the winds and the storm surge. storm surge advisories have been posted. that s new. also, hurricane watches are now up for the carolinas, so we re going to get advisories every three hours now because the watches are up. category 4 overnight the storm has gone through restructuring. we call it an eye wall replacement cycle. and all that means is these very strong hurricanes like to try to strengthen more. so one eye wall is replacing the smaller eye. that is a sign that we might get a 5 today. so category 4 right now, 140 mile-per-hour sustained winds. can you see that restructuring happening on the satellite presentation. all that tells me is this storm is getting stronger. hurricane watches have just been posted now so that is that s another sign that we are getting closer to ha landfall.
all flights are sold out going out of charleston. might have to go to a different airport. steve: janice dean joins us with the weather. > janice: would are going to get a new advisory as of 8:00 a.m. hurricane watches in effect for the carolinas. the storm is strength. it s going through what we call an eye wall replacement cycle. that means the outer eye wall takes in for the inner eye wall. all that means is we could potentially have a category 5 later on today. we do anticipate at least a category 4 as it makes land fall across the carolinas. that s the center of the storm where you see that 4. anywhere from the south carolina up to virginia you still need to pay attention. we don t know the exact location where the eye is going to come inland there is the tropical models. as you can see the big problem here is this storm could slow down and dump incredible historic amounts of rainfall. not only along the coast but inland. of course, we have the storm surge, the hurricane force win