optimistic about the odds. i don t think romney is going to do nearly as well this year as did he last four years ago. according to political science professor, the candidates are vying for three wings of the party in nevada. establishment conservative, which could go romney s way, the hard core conservative base has yet to embrace him. there is the libertarian, individualistic voters who may gravitate to paul. and tea party conservatives, who could split a number of ways. and then there are the mormons. mormons are about 11% of the population, but in a republican primary, they may be up to a quarter of the voters here. what is very important to remember here is they have very, very high turnout rates. four years ago, pheromones voted 90% for romney. but ron paul is courting them heavily, appeal to go their innate respect for the constitution. they see this as a very, very special document and limiting government and self reliance, i mean, they are not big government people.
and romney now. a couple of polls romney has increased his position and gingrich is losing steam in all of the polls. why is gingrich losing some steam, juan? not only the des moines register. can you go on and on in terms of really the establishment conservative assault on gingrich the last few days. it s been a tsunami. it s been unbelievable. and i think some of that is breaking through. especially on the point of who beat obama. that s the bottom line for most republicans in the country and been very clear to people and especially here in washington. that they think newt gingrich would not only lose to president obama but he would damage republics all the way down the ticket. now, let me just say that when you look, again, as these polls that you just referenced, bill, a lot of the hispanics, a lot of independent women, a lot of people in the electorate are losing confidence in the moderate idea of romney, even as romney is being forced to run to the right in order to
and romney now. a couple of polls romney has increased his position and gingrich is losing steam in all of the polls. why is gingrich losing some steam, juan? not only the des moines register. can you go on and on in terms of really the establishment conservative assault on gingrich the last few days. it s been a tsunami. it s been unbelievable. and i think some of that is breaking through. especially on the point of who beat obama. that s the bottom line for most republicans in the country and been very clear to people and especially here in washington. that they think newt gingrich would not only lose to president obama but he would damage republics all the way down the ticket. now, let me just say that when you look, again, as these polls that you just referenced, bill, a lot of the hispanics, a lot of independent women, a lot of people in the electorate are losing confidence in the moderate idea of romney, even as romney is being forced to run to the right in order to
and romney now. a couple of polls romney has increased his position and gingrich is losing steam in all of the polls. why is gingrich losing some steam, juan? not only the des moines register. can you go on and on in terms of really the establishment conservative assault on gingrich the last few days. it s been a tsunami. it s been unbelievable. and i think some of that is breaking through. especially on the point of who beat obama. that s the bottom line for most republicans in the country and been very clear to people and especially here in washington. that they think newt gingrich would not only lose to president obama but he would damage republics all the way down the ticket. now, let me just say that when you look, again, as these polls that you just referenced, bill, a lot of the hispanics, a lot of independent women, a lot of people in the electorate are losing confidence in the moderate idea of romney, even as romney is being forced to run to the right in order to
he s the south carolina senator there. he s made the decision that yes, that s what he wants to see. when given the choice, no, you don t want a moderate republican, you want a conservative republican in there. you don t even want an establishment conservative, you want an outsider. and he s getting aggressive. he s going about going against the leadership of his own party in colorado, in indiana in particular. in a couple of other places. where he s endorsing in some cases a candidate that has an almost no shot, probably indiana, to a place in colorado where he may create an environment where the democrats suddenly have an easier time holding that colorado senate seat than they would otherwise. so i think there are some wings and i think jim demint there s a case or maybe he sees himself as sort of a conservative leader. and perhaps he s got national ambitions. and i think some of that is playing out in some of these places as well. chris, just to add to chuck s