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Some in the party, it seems, have learned only to emulate the mistakes of previous generations, believing it will somehow deliver a different result.
There is a gradual escalation of the thinking of self-saboteurs. Convinced that they deserve government but that the party is unjustly held back by circumstances, the doubters first look for excuses outside the party. They blame the milieu created by Covid. They still resent the leader and his team for failing to launch policies or attack the government even though the entire world is focused on the pandemic.
The doubters believe the leader should be able to control the thinking of the constituents and when he cannot, the leader is denounced as ineffective.
But releasing our quarterly two-party-preferred âplusâ sequence this week, it strikes me that in the current environment, the horse race could have an opposite, stabilising effect.
Despite ongoing and strong approval of the federal governmentâs response to the pandemic, the stated voting intention over the past three months has been lineball, if not slightly in favour of Labor.
This is not to fall into the well-worn trap of saying âLabor is aheadâ. Until an election is called there is no âaheadâ. Rather it is to say, as we embark on the year after the most remarkable year in our living memory, that the political contest will commence from a fairly level standing start.