it s basically coming off the swingometer lib dems needed 26% it s way past that. it s the 7th biggest by election swing in our modern history, reminiscent of some of those huge anti tory swings we saw in the 1990s. and that s what will worry a slew of conservative mps in the south of england in particular. the targets where the lib dems are in second place 91 of them mainly against the conservatives and so this list of tory mps with small majorities against the lib dems will be feeling more vulnerable one that stands out, esher and walton the seat of the deputy pm and justice sec dominic raab. tories haven t had to seriously worry about the lib dems since they ingested them and spat
majority of 3000 or so in esher and walton, if you likejeremy hunt, people forget, in surrey, it was always a conservative seat, but the lib dems were a close second at one point. jeremy hunt likes to say that he won a marginal seat. there is a slew of conservative scenes were lib dems are a close second with us more closer majorities. and they would want to say maybe boris johnson is not the electoral assetin johnson is not the electoral asset in my seat, and what are you going to help me keep it. interesting. we will leave it there for the moment. mo hussein is former conservative special advisor and chief of press at downing street. i m going to run with the theme lewis was talking about there. the idea of seats that used to be safe as houses and now both ends of the demographic spectrum, we saw injune, with amateur magician, now north shropshire in december, does the party recognise how disillusioned voters are? yes,
a corruption scandal, and we don t need to go through with that what happened, but to say the way the prime minister and the way the prime minister and the conservative party handle that made his resignation inevitable, he could havejust accepted a 30 day suspension on the house of commons which would have been over by now, and instead we are having a devastating result from boris johnson, on top of a devastating result of by election in a totally different part of the country, an enormous swing to the liberal democrats and there are a lot of seat in the united kingdom with the liberal democrats in second place to the conservative, including places like esher and walton, which is a seat held by the justice secretary and deputy prime minister dominic raab. they will be looking very nervously at their seats when they wake up tomorrow morning and think, is the liberal democrats are on a comeback, what does that mean for me? it what does that mean for me? if this does turn out to be a win
buckinghamshire, massive tactical voting against the conservatives, long talked about now apparently actually happening and that translated to a swing of some 34%. 34% for the lib dems, they only needed 26%, way past that, the seventh biggest by election swing in our modern history, reminiscent of some of the huge anti tory swings we saw in the 1990s, and that s what will worry a slew of conservative mps in the south of england in particular where the lib dems are in second place, somewhere like wimbledon, the majority of stephen hammond, 149, somewhere like lewes in sussex, for the seat of maria caulfield the health minister, the majority 2457. these were smaller majorities than in shropshire and this one stands out, esher and walton, the seat of the deputy prime minister and justice secretary dominic raab. the tories haven t seriously had to worry about the lib dems says ingested them and spat
who want to remove them from office. lots of talk of fairness, decency and a focus on education. his party is convinced it is a strategy for success, but it s voters he has to win over. surrey is just the sort of place the lib dems have their eye on. esher and walton has long been a safe conservative seat, but there is hope here that can change after the lib dems came a close second at the last election. it s now a marginal seat. that s very exciting. i was lib dem. i don t know what you were, to be fair? i was conservative. but we will be voting next time. you ll probably be lib dem again. probably, i need to look into it. i suppose i am a natural conservative. that s about all i can say. a natural conservative? yeah. would you consider voting for the lib dems? no, not at this point in time. one, two, three, yes! the lib dems are encouraged and emboldened by their recent success, but know they face a long path back to political prominence. jonathan blake, bbc news.