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Opinion: Why a recession may be near

Income growth will continue to cool, savings will fall and debt will rise, and eventually the US consumer will have to pull back. A brief recession is the most likely outcome, write Dana Peterson and Erik Lundh.

San franciscoUnited statesDana petersonErik lundhBureau of economic analysisFederal reserve bankConference board the

Opinion: Why a recession may be near

Income growth will continue to cool, savings will fall and debt will rise, and eventually the US consumer will have to pull back. A brief recession is the most likely outcome, write Dana Peterson and Erik Lundh.

United statesSan franciscoDana petersonErik lundhBureau of economic analysisFederal reserve bankConference board the

Opinion | The Unfinished Pursuit of a Better Poverty Measure

The official poverty measure is widely disliked, but experts may never agree on how to perfect it.

United statesBruce meyerClaudia goldinCecilia rouseAdam smithMollie orshanskyErik lundhSecurity administrationCensus bureauNational academiesUniversity of chicago harris school publicNational academies of sciencesSocial securityChicago harris schoolPublic policyIndi dutta gupta

Consumers upped their spending in July

Despite rising interest rates and looming student loan repayments, consumers spent more on both services and goods in July.

United statesStephanie tullyErik lundhKristina tiptonMarshall school of businessBureau of economic analysisEconomic analysisPersonal incomeBoston universityQuestrom schoolNear intelligence

What to Watch: Consumer Vitals in 5 Numbers

The figures to watch to understand shoppers headed into the second half.

Craig johnsonDana petersonKatie thomasErik lundhFederal reserveKearney consumer instituteConference boardCustomer growth partners

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