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neil: are you calling this a bear market? is this the start of a bear market? no. what i m saying, it s difficult to lock at the data and say everything is great. so what i m saying is attitudes and behavior have a lot to do with this. behavior and attitudes have been strong, positive, a lot of optimism and pick up in investment growth which takes confidence. we re seeing a pickup in expected growth in the global economy. the list in equity values, the closure of the spread between corporate volumeses takes confidence. neil: i want to be clear stephen, i m pick up with you. you don t see a black swan development that this is a quick excuse that conflict is very good news? economy is improving, more jobs, the robust nature of the tax cuts, corporations sharing the wealth, this pick up in
but we know that this process is under way and there s every reason to believe it will continue to move. and you look at the stock market, the fact that it s been on a downward path the past couple of weeks, down over 6% since january. what kind of warning sign is that? well, it s more than a warning sign. it s important to remember that equity values, stock prices are not just paper profits. they actually have a profoundly important impact on economic activity. and if stock prices start continuing down, i would get very concerned. i agree with that, but i also never place too much emphasis on what the market does for any week or two. you need to really look at this just like you look at economic data over a period of time. if you look at this over a reasonable period of time, we ve seen a very solid stock market.
Detailed text transcripts for TV channel - MSNBC - 20100208:09:29:00
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