our wall street journal poll taken last month showed joe biden with a seven-point lead. and within the last hour, tlfhe was a morning consult poll that showed joe biden in a contest with bernie sanders and elizabeth warren. this race is becoming more competitive. i agree with cornell completely that one of the big trend lines is elizabeth warren and her steady kbroovrmt improvement in polling, but overall i think you have to say joe biden is still the frontrunner, a very vulnerable frontrunner, and then followed by bernie sanders and elizabeth warren in some type of order. and with the caveat that cornell just mentioned, we have a long way to go until we get to iowa. you just cited a range of polling showing some very different numbers, and that is why you guys are always urging people to look at the average.
it looks like we ever new polling in the democratic campaign. a monmouth university poll shows a tie with bernie sanders, elizabeth warren and joe biden. it s a statistical tie for the lead. the biden campaign released a statement saying, this poll is an outliar that was contradicted by every measure of the national average. this weekend elizabeth warren drew 15,000 people to her campaign, an event in seattle. that is the largest for her campaign so far. the monmouth poll does not change the democratic candidate. ten candidates have already qualified for the debate in houston next month. the other candidates have until wednesday to get the 130,000 unique donors and four polls showing them at 2% or higher to
the horse race number aside, that she is growing her name recognition and more voters are beginning to know her and think favorable of her says she s moving in the right direction. i would not be surprised, lawrence, that fairly soon she is going to really be challenging for the frontrunner status in this campaign. mark, this new poll seems to pick up on something that we saw in the economist poll which is about a week older than this one, which was a statistical tie at the limits of the margin of error that had biden at 22, sanders at 19, warren at 17. so to see a poll a week later with them bunched tighter together really shouldn t be that surprising. i don t think it s that surprising, but you have to look at it with the totality of the other polling out there as well. just in the past couple weeks, you ve had a cnn poll, a very high quality poll that had joe biden with elizabeth warren.
qualify. september s democratic debate will be the first time that joe biden and elizabeth warren will be on the same debate stage. we will discuss the state of the democratic race with cornell belcher and mark maury after this break. fter this break [farmers bell] (burke) at farmers insurance, we ve seen almost everything, so we know how to cover almost anything. even a three-ring fender bender. (clown 1) sorry about that. (clown 2) apologies. (clown 1) .didn t mean it. (clown 3) whoops. (stilts) sorry! (clowns) we re sorry! (scary) hey, we re sorry! [man screams] [scary screams] (burke) quite the circus. but we covered it. at farmers, we know a thing or two because we ve seen a thing or two.