bernie sanders and deliberate warren of the left. you have joe biden dominating the moderate wing, that is a pretty strong formula for victory, i would say. the challenge for senator warren moving forward is erode vice president biden s numbers among liberals. as long as a quarter of liberals in the democratic party are saying they re comfortable with senator warren, you will see challenges for senator sanders and warren as they try to consolidate that left wing of the democratic party. senator warren is gaining traction with many liberals. you see her drawing big crowds in the early voting states. until joe biden is not seen not liberal enough by democrats he will hold in these polls. you think about, there s an ideological question. there s an age thing, older
this race and be part of the top tier. i ask you whether this intense focus of beating donald trump is the feature of the democratic electorate. it seems it has risen over the last few weeks given the way donald trump is behaving. sure. a couple things going on. one thing to watch, whether elizabeth warren and other candidates can ewrote joe biden s support among black voters. i tend to believe from covering politics for years, black voters in particular of a democratic party tend to be skeptical of the process. it takes time for them to get to know a candidate. in part, joe biden s support is based on support among black democrats, who just know him. they ve seen him with barack obama, the nation s first black
figures online but not by going to big campaign events but standing hours in line taking selfies with voters. that is a way to see where the base really is and who is building a coalition to stick with them opposed to those interested who will be the best nominee against the president. tim, there s a thing that happens every cycle you follow these races, there s one candidate a lightning in a bottle candidate. you can mesh it a little bit with polls and crowd sizes, those are factors. there s seeing these guys in the world and enthusiasm and the way they light up a space and passion. in 2016, that candidate was donald trump. he had lightning in a bottle. in 2008, that was barack obama. do you have a sense elizabeth warren is that candidate and do you think donald trump watching this has a sense he sees from
bernie sanders and elizabeth warren are vying for. pete buttigieg has his own unique following. she has in some way so far been out of options. there aren t that many voters left with so many candidates. i want to ask you about where we stand in less than a month with debates or single debates, we found castro has qualified with 10 on the debate stage. tom stire just needs to get to 2%. and a bunch of others with no qualifying polls but made it on the donor side. kirsten gillibrand has one qualifying poll and not quite there with the donor number. looks to me like you re at 10 and might get to 11 and a far shot, desire and gabbard to get to 12. how do you think that will
i would take to the country with donald trump. i think the poll numbers suggest it s effective. i want to pull up the graphics. talking about the movement over the course of these months since june. biden at 29%, up 7 points. sanders, up 1. warren down 1, pete, up 1, and kamala harris down 12. let me throw up the next set of polls. moderate versus liberal. ideology split. warren and sanders and biden at the same place. 22, 22, 23. and joe biden crushing the second best two democrats in bernie sanders and elizabeth warren. i ask you, you think about the breadth of this appeal here. one thing if joe biden was the candidate of moderates and