A lot of the jobs that have been lost since the pandemic are being recovered. No question it was a much better number than was expected with the headline being 1. 4 million jobs added and the Unemployment Rate going below double digits for the First Time Since the pandemic adding it all up we now have recovered since april a total of about 10. 6 million jobs, which is huge progress, but it also leaves a huge hole we still have 11. 5 million fewer jobs than we had in february which was the month before the pandemic so weve still got to dig ourselves out of the hole and weve still got to look at the permanent impact of all of this. One in the numbers i went to first in this report is the number of people seeing permanent job losses it did rise by about half a million. Its 3. 4 million so that is the highest level since 2013 and does point to the fact that there is going to be some permanent scarring despite the fact, carl, that we are seeing progress, its moving in the right direction. T
Caught my eye was the 3600 number that is where we are going according to Goldman Sachs chief u. S. Equity strategist david he wrote that the fall and the equity risk premium will be partially upset by a rise in bond yields, but the combination will ultimately boost the s p index by 3600 at by yearend and 3800 in 12 months time. It represented significant increase driven by valuation. Joining me now, Chris Watling longview, chief Market Strategist and ceo. A pretty bold call, chris. What do you think . Chris it is doable. It is not implausible. I think it depends on how much policy keeps on generating stimulus how much the policymakers keep on giving, if you like. We have seen congress go into recess. We have half had the package, half not, with the executive orders. Clearly the fed is giving and will continue to give. There is a lot of utility in the world can we keep getting stimulus packages. Singapore did something over the weekend, not a major player, but it is noble. There are cl
Radio and Bloomberg Television across this nation. It is not a usual august. It is highly unusual, different from 1998. Certainly some of these trends are draw dropping are jawdropping. Bonds participate. It is decidedly risk on. Lisa although you have to say, when you got a 10 year yield below 1 , to say it is a decidedly different tone with yields going up indicates just where we are in this cycle. I will say, also important to note that is yields rise, bond prices down, you are seeing real yields remain deeply negative. Tom deeply negative and plunging right now. 1. 00s the right word, at and now at 1. 03 on the u. S. Tenyear. That is a really extraordinary drop. Saw,own near the lows we but this will be a huge theme. What will you listen for from chairman powell on thursday . Lisa basically, how much they are going to keep yields low and how much they perceive themselves looking at the reality of the economy today. I really think it is important to note that even as yields move up,
Stayathome to save the birds of london. That is a good thing to say. It is the strangest august, and the only litmus paper youve got right now is the weaker dollar, the preponderant trend this morning. Francine yeah, weaker dollar. Im also looking at a couple things. When it looks at iron ore, it is significantly up, and we are looking at gold. First lets get straight to the bloomberg first word news in new york city with ritika gupta. Ritika Michelle Obama describes President Trump as unfit for office on the Opening Night of the democratic convention. The former first lady blasted him from his handling the pandemic. Worthen 150,000 people have died, and our more than 150,000 people have died, and our economy is in shambles because of a virus that this president downplayed for too long. Trump isbama said that clearly in over his head. President trump added a trip to iowa to his schedule today. Support has been slipping in a state that he won in nine Percentage Points in 2016. Polls sho
Government the talks right now on ice and well hear what leadership from both sides of the aisle is saying without that stimulus money, major cities in the United States are kind of stuck between a rock and a hard place and a new report lays out how bad things could get power lunch starts right now it does welcome the power lunch. Tech continues power ahead with the nasdaq leading the way near its record high which it hit on august 7th one tech stock not joining the party. That would be cisco having its worst day since 2011 even though the s p isnt there yet, its pretty close but not there yet. Check out the names hitting record highs tyler, back to you the stimulus stalemate in washington continues today threatening to further delay payments to struggling americans and failing to provide much of a boost to the u. S. Economy. Lots of big names on cnbc talking about the issue today. Lets go to eamon for more. Reporter its a total stand still. While theres not a lot of real negotiations