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Record levels of government debt, geopolitical tensions that threaten to split the global trading system, and the likely persistence of weak productivity gains may saddle the world with a slow-growth future that stunts development in some countries even before it starts. That sobering view of a post-pandemic global economy emerged from research organized by the Kansas City Federal Reserve and debated here this past weekend. It explored issues like the outlook for technological innovation, public debt, and the state of international trade at a time when the Russian invasion of Ukraine and conflict between the U.S. and China have eroded a once-broad global agreement, at least in theory, to boost the free flow of goods and services.

United statesBen broadbentDan burnsPierre olivier gourinchasNgozi okonjo iwealaSerkan arslanalpNela richardsonEswar prasadHoward schneiderAndrea ricciMaurice obstfeldBarry eichengreenJared bernsteinPeterson institute for international economicsCornell universityWhite house council of economic advisers