this is a bad situation. it is a civil war. there are chemical weapons. this is as bad as it gets. best case, we go in and hit him and we take away some of the folks and we say you do this again, it will be worse next time and he will say, fine, i am winning the civil war anyway, and he declares victory because he survives and we declare victory. heather: do you really think that is a possibility? guest: there is a very good possibility. but he doesn t want to drag israel and turkey and the united states into more because that puts him at risk. he wants us to go away. in the past, he has not struck back when israel in 2007 he did not strike back. however, we can buy this deterrence. some. if he starts losing again and he was losing and now he is winning. if he loses again there is