Public polling and internal Democratic and Republican surveys all indicate both races will be decided by slim margins. Early vote data compiled by the secretary of state’s office shows the contests are set to shatter previous turnout records for runoffs, which tend to draw far fewer voters than a general election.
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Typically, Democrats struggle to drive Black voters to the polls in runoff elections. This year, Black voters make up about 33 recent of the electorate so far 3 points higher than their share at this point in the November general election.
White voters without a college degree, a group that typically favors Republicans, represent about 35.6 percent of the electorate, down 2 points from their share at this point before November’s contests.